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Scientists Predict 1.2% Chance of Asteroid “City Wash” Hitting Earth in 2032

NASA⁤ Tracks “City Killer” ⁣Asteroid 2024⁣ YR4 with Potential Earth‍ impact in 2032

In a groundbreaking revelation, NASA scientists have identified a near-Earth ‍asteroid, 2024 YR4, that could pose a threat to⁣ our⁤ planet in the coming decade. Detected on december 27, 2024, by the‌ Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System ⁣(ATLAS), ⁣this celestial body​ has ⁣sparked global attention due to ‌its potential⁢ to ⁣collide with Earth on ⁤ December 22, 2032.​ ⁣

With a diameter of ‌approximately 55 ​meters, 2024 ​YR4 falls into ⁤the category ‍of “City Killers”—asteroids capable of devastating entire cities upon impact. While ‌it ⁤may not trigger a mass extinction event like ⁢the⁣ meteorite that wiped out the dinosaurs‌ 66 million years ago, its ‍collision could ​release an estimated 8 megatons of energy, equivalent to 500 times the ⁣power of the Hiroshima atomic⁣ bomb. ​

According to calculations,the asteroid has‍ a 1 in⁣ 83‌ (1.2%) chance of ⁣impacting⁣ Earth in 2032. However,scientists‌ emphasize that such probabilities often decrease as more‍ data is collected. “Asteroid 2024 YR4 has an almost⁤ 99 ‌percent chance of safely passing Earth ​on 22 december 2032,” ⁢the European Space Agency (ESA) stated in a recent‌ proclamation [3].

2024 YR4 ‌ is‌ classified ‌as an Apollo-type near-Earth ‌object, meaning its orbit crosses Earth’s path. Over the ⁣next 50 years, it is indeed expected to ⁣make seven close approaches to ‍our ⁢planet, with‍ the frist occurring in⁢ 2028.The moast meaningful encounter, however, remains ⁤the 2032 event, which has⁤ prompted ‍ NASA and othre​ space agencies to intensify efforts in planetary defense. ‍

This discovery underscores the importance of missions like NASA’s DART (Double Asteroid Redirection ⁤Test), ⁣which aims to ​develop technologies to alter the ‍trajectory of potentially hazardous asteroids.While the likelihood of 2024 YR4 causing catastrophic damage is low, its existence serves as a stark reminder⁣ of‍ the need for vigilance in monitoring near-earth objects.

Key ⁣Facts About ⁤Asteroid 2024 ⁢YR4

| Attribute ⁣ ‍‍ | Details ​ ⁣ ⁤ ⁤ ⁣ ⁢ ‍ ‍ ‍ ⁣ ‌ ‍ ⁣ ⁣ | ⁢
|————————-|—————————————————————————–|
| Discovery Date ​ | December 27, 2024 ‌ ⁣ ⁤ ⁣ ‍ ​ ⁣ ‍ ‌ ‍ ⁣ ‍ ‍ ⁣‌ ⁣ |
|​ Diameter ‍| ~55 meters ​ ⁣ ‌ ⁤ ​ ‍ ​ ⁤ ⁢ ⁣ ‌ ‌ ‌ ⁢ ‍|
| Classification ‌ | Apollo-type near-Earth ‌object ⁢ ‍ ⁤ ⁢ ⁤ ⁣ ⁢ ⁢ ⁤‌ |
| Potential Impact Date | December 22, 2032⁣ ‍ ‌ ‍ ​ ⁤ ⁣ ⁤ ‍ ⁤ ⁢ | ⁢
| Impact⁣ Probability | ​1 in ​83 (1.2%) ‌ ​ ⁢ ⁣ ‌ ​ ‌ ‌ ⁣⁣ ⁢ ‌ ⁣ ‍ | ⁣
| Energy Release ‍ | 8 megatons (500x Hiroshima⁤ atomic⁢ bomb) ⁣ ⁣ ‍‌ ​ ⁣ ‍ ​ ⁤ ‌ ‌⁤ ​ | ⁣

As astronomers continue ​to⁢ monitor ​ 2024 YR4, the public is encouraged⁤ to ⁢stay informed about developments in planetary defense and the ongoing efforts to‍ safeguard ‌Earth from⁢ potential asteroid threats. For more details on the‌ asteroid’s ⁤trajectory⁢ and‍ monitoring efforts,visit the ESA’s Planetary Defence page world, raising ⁢concerns about potential impacts. According to a report ⁤from Live⁢ Science, astronomers are monitoring​ its trajectory to determine whether it could ​collide‍ with⁣ Earth in the future. The stakes ⁤are high, and the scientific community is on high alert.

To better ⁤understand the situation, here’s a ⁣summary of key details:

| Aspect ⁣ ‍ ‍ |‌ Details ‍ ⁣ ⁣ ​ ⁤⁢ ‍ ​ ⁣ ⁢ ​ ‌ ​ |
|————————–|—————————————————————————–|
| Celestial Body ⁣⁣ ‌ | A planet orbiting close to Earth ⁤ ‌ ‌ ⁣ ⁣ ‍ ⁤ ⁤ ​ ⁣ |
| Monitoring ‌ ⁤ ​ | Astronomers are closely tracking ​its⁤ trajectory ‍‌ ⁣ ⁢ |
| Potential Threat ​ ‍ | Risk of collision with Earth‌ ⁤ ​ ‌ ‍ ​ ​ ⁢ |
| Source ⁣ ‍ | Live Science |

The ‌planet’s proximity to Earth has sparked a wave of interest ​and concern.⁢ While it’s still ⁢too early to predict the outcome, the ⁢data‍ collected ⁣so far suggests that this celestial body warrants close observation. ⁣Scientists are using advanced ​technology ‍to track its movements and assess any potential dangers.

the​ implications of a collision could be ‌catastrophic,making this a top priority for researchers. As the ⁤planet continues its orbit,astronomers will remain vigilant,analyzing every piece of data ⁤to ensure the safety of our planet.​ The⁣ findings⁤ from ‌this ongoing study could provide critical insights into how‍ we prepare for and mitigate such⁣ threats in the future.

For now, the scientific community ‍urges the public to stay informed and⁤ trust in the rigorous‌ monitoring efforts underway. As more facts becomes available, ‌it ⁣will‌ be⁤ shared‍ to keep everyone updated on this developing story.

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