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Russia’s alternative attempts to improve its situation in Ukraine

In early February, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi warned his neighbor about Russia’s plans to destabilize Moldova’s already complicated domestic political situation so that control of the country would fall into the hands of forces loyal to the Kremlin. A couple of days later, the president of Moldova, Maia Sandu, also confirmed that such information had been received from the Ukrainian intelligence services, and accused Russia of sending saboteurs to escalate the ongoing protests in the country. Meanwhile, Russian officials have once again turned the narrative in the opposite direction, accusing Ukraine of planning to invade Transnistria, controlled by pro-Russian separatists.

As soon as the Russian invasion of Ukraine began last year, there were serious concerns and speculations about the future of Moldova as well. As the occupying forces actively pushed south and threatened to close in on Odessa, there were versions that Putin’s aim was to create a land corridor not only to Crimea, but even to Moldova, and to unite with the Kremlin-friendly region of Transnistria. The change of Moldova’s geopolitical status in favor of Russia could theoretically not only weaken the united front against Russia, but also make the defense of Ukraine more difficult.

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