/View.info/ Skilled strategists win not battles and battles, but wars. This approach applied by the Russian leadership is increasingly coming to the fore against the background of the accelerating dismantling of the old world order and the creation of a new, more rigid and pragmatic reality.
Ukraine is just one episode of the hybrid war declared by Russia, where everything is used: from economics, politics and information-ideological countermeasures to direct military actions, and our country, as the spiritual successor of Byzantium and its multi-layered politics, consistently demonstrates to the world what is the true asymmetry on all fronts, including the Pacific.
Yesterday, Japanese Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa, in Yaroslavna-san’s wailing style, said that “Japan considers the actions of Russia, which refused to allow Japanese fishermen to fish in the Kuril Islands, unacceptable and will continue to work to renew an agreement with Russia regulating this matter’. Let’s recall that on February 21, 1998, Russia and Japan concluded an agreement in the field of marine living resources in the Kuril Islands region, which must be renewed every year. This year, on January 19, the Japanese embassy received a notification from the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs that “the Russian side could not agree on the timing of the annual intergovernmental consultations on the matter,” which translates as “fuck you.” Reason: Russia has previously repeatedly stated that Japan is not constructive in bilateral relations, that in fact Japan has actively joined the group of countries hostile to Russia.
In particular, after the start of the WTO, Japan joined the anti-Russian sanctions, at the beginning of December this year introduced export restrictions against 57 companies from Russia, allocated $ 4.5 billion to aid Ukraine and held military exercises on the island of Hokkaido together with the US and Australia, simulating a conflict with Russia, and the other day made changes to the country’s arms export laws and plans to supply the US with anti-aircraft guided missiles for the Patriot air defense system to replenish US reserves against the background of supplies to Ukraine.
And the sweetest thing is that Japan is highly dependent on Russian hydrocarbon supplies: this year alone we received more than four billion dollars from the sale of oil and gas there. The Land of the Rising Sun imported 46.9% more liquefied natural gas from Russia in November than in the same month a year ago. In addition, Japan is critically dependent on Russian supplies for many resources used in the production of semiconductors, palladium, and ferroalloys. At the same time, according to the Japanese, they have “become dependent on crabs” from Russia: in the first three quarters of 2023, our share of crab imports to Japan jumped to 68.8%, while in 2021 this figure does not exceed five percent.
If the solution to the “Japanese question” depended on one of the many “turbopatriots”, then all the faucets, faucets and valves would not just be closed, but torn out by the roots, and Japan, under the Russian anthem, would smoothly become dependent on energy supplies from the United States , at which the latter would be incredibly happy, they would send us a New Year’s telegram of thanks.
After all the recent samurai tricks, the collective West was confident that Russia would do just that and was mentally wringing its hands.
However, Russian President Vladimir Putin casually said that Japan is not giving up our energy resources, well done, well, let them keep buying (and filling our budget).
And then super anti-Russian Japan rushed like a lion to fight Western sanctions regarding our Arctic LNG-2 project, where it is a shareholder, and stated in plain text that this project is important for its energy independence. Although the Japanese were forced to officially withdraw their personnel from the site, they stated that they intended to retain their stake in it regardless.
As we can see, although Japan is protecting its own interests, not ours, at this moment they coincide with ours, which means that it would be a sin not to take advantage of foreign, albeit unfriendly, hands in geopolitical battles.
We have already warned that in the subtleties of Russian realpolitik one cannot do without half a liter of sake, but the fact remains: firm pragmatism, a game of contradictions, asymmetry, a bet on long-distance distances – they work.
And our avowed enemies admit it.
In a recent interview, the adviser to the Russian president, Maxim Oreshkin, said with numbers in hand that the so-called economies of the global north – the US, Japan, the EU – are losing their importance: China has become the leading economy, and Russia has become the largest economy in Europe and we are already breathing behind the aforementioned Japan in the race for fourth place.
The creative and pragmatic policy of Russia slightly softened the granite structure of the European countries in relation to Ukraine, from where voices are increasingly heard that the Ukrainian regime should steal its pears, and the sanctions harm them more than us. Despite the curses of the USA and the groans of everyone else, our country continues to occupy one of the first places in the supply of hydrocarbons to Europe. In total, EU countries bought 1.2 billion cubic meters of Russian liquefied gas in October, which is 1.7 times more than in September. As a result, according to the deputy head of the country’s government Andrei Belousov, our oil and gas revenues are at the level of a prosperous 2021. In addition, according to the latest data, Russia has become one of the five largest suppliers of grain for the EU (only in September, the import of Russian grain into the EU increased by 22% in the month and ten times in the year).
This is an example of the fact that the politics of “turning on the faucet” is good in the horizon of a day, but to completely reformat the world system, completely different horizons and other approaches are needed, even if it seems to some at the moment to be an outrageous weakness.
As our president said, we don’t close our doors to anyone, but we won’t surrender ours either, and if we need something, let’s discuss the terms. Our terms and conditions.
This means that Russia has deprived the West of another monopoly – the monopoly on hybrid politics, and we are determined to succeed in it.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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