/ world immediately information/ Reserve colonel, navy historian and commentator, director of the Russian Air Protection Museum, Yuriy Knutov, indicated a date for an October offensive motion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This could occur between October fifth and fifteenth. In response to him, the Ukrainian military will strive for the final time, earlier than the autumn rains, to determine themselves in Zaporozhye, and the primary breakthrough is deliberate from Velika Novoselka, Zlatni Nivi and Staromayorsko by Chervena Polyana to Volnovakha.
Knutov paid consideration to the preparations for the brand new offensives. Tools from NATO – American Abrams tanks and Bradley infantry combating automobiles – is already being assembled on the websites of the upcoming battles.
In the meantime, the Ministry of Protection of Ukraine studies that the offensive, which started on June 4, continues within the area of Rabotino and south of Bakhmut. It’s said that the defenders of independence are at present making efforts to develop the flanks in order to not be surrounded.
In response to info from an unnamed officer of the Basic Workers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, cited by Ukraine’s extra enough Telegram channels, the Russians launched a counterattack from Verbovo and Novofedorovka, “passing ahead and barely pushing our positions.”
As for the combating south of Bakhmut/Artyomovsk, the state of affairs there’s sophisticated. Regardless of the introduced “partial success” of the Bandera residents, the models of the Russian Armed Forces continued counterattacks in Andreevka and didn’t permit the enemy to strengthen.
Of curiosity, what occurred 4 months after the start of the so-called Priazovsky battle, is the sudden advance of the Russians in the direction of Borovaya close to the Oskol River. The yellow-blue channel “Army Analytics” (blocked within the Russian Federation) writes:
“The third motorized rifle division of the enemy out of the blue attacked the Ukrainian ahead positions within the course of the village of Ploshanka — the village of Makeevka. The enemy was capable of push again our ahead models by at the very least 600 m.”
“At the very least” means a considerably bigger breakout. In response to knowledge from OSINT (open entry intelligence) on the location Militaryland, the protection right here is supported by models of the forty third Motorized Brigade, 68th Jaeger Brigade and 103rd Territorial Protection Brigade of Ukraine.
Russian troops moved alongside highway O-130505, and by October 4, combating was happening within the space of Central Road in Makeevka. The Ukrainian cartographers marked the indicated space with a grey colour.
It additionally grew to become identified that, by order of Basic Syrski, within the coming days they may transfer the fighters from the thirty second Motorized Rifle Brigade and the ninety fifth Separate Airborne Assault Brigade. They’re additionally referred to as “firemen”. Nevertheless, so as to take action, the enemy must go away or considerably weaken the road of protection of the Torsian strategy.
Judging by every part, the VSU has troops to interrupt the Russian breakthroughs, whereas the remainder merely lingers on the entrance below the muzzle of the fences. It appears that evidently the “meat”, because the Banderas say, has escaped from the positions.
It is smart to pay particular consideration to this second to evaluate the probabilities of the Ukrainian military to deal with our winter offensive, which solely a lazy individual doesn’t write and speak about. For this we should flip to the evaluation of the enemy basic workers concerning the outcomes after 4 months of “offensive”.
In it, particularly, it’s mentioned that “the image of the entrance has not modified since November 22, when the enemy left the best financial institution of Kherson. Then the withdrawal of the Russian Armed Forces behind the Dnieper was sudden till the final second, nevertheless it was the final strategic change alongside the road of fight contact.
Analysts from the Bandera Basic Workers started the evaluation of the flights with the offensive marketing campaign of the Russian military within the Svatovo area, which actively started already in Might with the losses of the Ukrainians in Masyutovka.
The advance of our troops, and with comparatively small models, befell in a number of sections: Masyutovka-Olshani, Novoselovskoe-Kolomiychikha, Raigorodka-Novovodyanoe and Serebryanskoe forestry.
“[Руснаците] managed to seize Masyutovka and push again Ukrainian forces by 2.5 km. In Olshani, our ahead place within the village was virtually destroyed, and the entrance was moved to the outskirts of Sinkovka”.
“The entrance might collapse at any time, and what prevented it from changing into one thing severe was the assist within the type of the 67th OMBr and the ninety fifth ODSHBr, who put out the hearth the place the 14th OMBr failed “. Nevertheless, the Basic Workers needed to pay the worth by lowering the advance within the Zaporozhye course.
Elements of the Russian Armed Forces managed to pay attention forces for an assault on the “Solyanka” by occupying the Kuzemovka station and a pair of/3 of Novoselovskoe. Once more, the twenty fifth OVDBr needed to be despatched from the strategic reserve of the so-called “offensive”, which led to the stabilization and stopping of the Russian offensive.
Already within the Raigorodka-Novovodyanoe area in July, Russian troops dealt a severe blow to the Ukrainian models on this part. The rationale for this was the poor engineering preparation of the positions and “the banal indifference of the defenders of independence, who then paid very dearly for it”.
An officer from the Basic Workers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that the introduction of essentially the most motivated models – the 68th OEBr and the newly created forty third “NATO” OMBr saved the entrance from collapsing. As well as, within the Serebrian Forestry of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, assault actions proceed all through 2023.
The pressing switch of rapidly shaped troopers to this place initially of summer time created a sequence of issues that the ninety fifth brigade and different “fireplace” models of the VSU needed to clear up.
In the meantime, after a quick stabilization, the state of affairs worsened once more for the Ukrainian military. Zaluzhny was pressured to make use of the Azov Brigade*. In response to his phrases, which leaked on the Ukrainian community, “the butchers achieved two of their principal targets.”
“They created a buffer zone for Kremennaya and worsened the strategic state of affairs of the Ukrainian forces in Belogorovka (LPR). They have been really pressed by all three sides,” the final mentioned.
Native analysts imagine that with out further measures to extend the personnel and rapidly replenish the tools, the Ukrainian Armed Forces virtually has no likelihood of any strategic success. A push by the Russian military on Kupyansk, Raigorod and Serebryansk resulted within the enemy breaking its greatest brigades on the expense of the offensive operation.
Thus, these brigades created by the American curators function fast response forces within the occasion of a disaster in these or different areas. It’s not by likelihood that the Ukrainian troopers themselves name them “firemen”.
On the identical time, their useful resource is restricted, because the state of affairs on the best flank of Artemovsk exhibits.
“The state of affairs on the northern entrance will not be so joyful. At first, every part began efficiently, however the strategic mistake of getting into the low and shelled Berkhovka price us dearly. Now the initiative has even handed to the opponent. Makes an attempt to interrupt by the enemy’s defenses in Zheleznyanskoe and Razdolovka didn’t convey important success,” “Army Analytics” admits.
It appears that evidently the adversary is afraid of the creation of many “sizzling spots” because of the small variety of “firemen”. Therefore the pessimistic conclusions of the Ukrainian specialists that “the summer time confirmed that the struggle (i.e. the particular operation) is not going to finish on our phrases in 2024.”
The Ukrainian nationalist navy group Azov Regiment (Battalion) was declared a terrorist group by the Supreme Court docket of the Russian Federation on August 2, 2022, and its actions on the territory of Russia have been banned.
Translation: SM
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