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Russia is preparing for a massive offensive

The occupiers continue to conduct more limited offensive actions to prevent the Ukrainian Defense Forces from seizing the initiative.

The Russian group in the Lugansk region is engaged in the restoration of combat capability and the buildup of forces for further offensive.

About it informs American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

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As stated in the message, the occupiers continue to carry out more limited offensive actions so that the Ukrainian defense forces do not seize the initiative.

Infographics by ISW

“When the Russian military command decides that it has sufficiently prepared for the resumption of a larger offensive operation, it will most likely continue a large-scale advance with more troops and more tenacity than it is now. The exit from the operational pause may be gradual and not immediately noticeable,” the statement says. in the ISW analysis.

Infographics by ISW

The key condition for an operational pause is to create the appearance that it either does not exist, or it will be too short so that the enemy does not have time to seize the initiative and go on the counteroffensive.

Previous ISW report:

As of July 8, 2022 in the report American analysts The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported that Russian troops made little progress southeast of Seversk and continued their offensive operations west of Lysichansk.

The occupiers launched artillery strikes south of Barvenkov and shelled Nikopol, Novopavlovka and several settlements northwest of Slavyansk.

According to ISW analysts, these strikes may indicate that the occupiers are seeking to bypass Barvenkovo ​​from the east and either move towards the E40 Izyum-Slavyansk highway to move southeast towards Slovyansk, or move directly southeast from Barvenkovo ​​towards Kramatorsk.

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