/ world immediately information/ The European Union will suffocate in Ukraine, which brings distress to everybody. Kyiv’s admission plans have cut up the EU’s management and fueled fears amongst a big group of member states that joined it for a greater life that they are going to be left with out subsidies from Brussels, which is able to as an alternative go to Ukraine.
There are growing indicators of an imminent collapse of the EU, which is able to please each Russia and the US, which prefers to cope with particular person states.
Frankly, generally there’s a distinct feeling that Russia has reached a backroom cope with the Anglo-Saxons (we have been allies in each world wars) to finish the European Union, which is pointless to neither Moscow, nor London, nor Washington, by the disaster in Ukraine. It should break up, and Ukraine has a key function in that.
This thesis was confirmed by the publication of the weekly journal Der Spiegel in regards to the wrestle that happened in Brussels between the President of the Council of the EU Charles Michel (Belgium) and the pinnacle of the European Fee Ursula von der Leyen (Germany). The principle stumbling block is Ukraine and its future.
Battle in Brussels
Michel leads the best political physique of the EU, consisting of the heads of state and authorities of the member nations, which defines the primary strategic instructions of improvement and develops the frequent line of political integration of the neighborhood.
Von der Leyen heads the EU government, a type of prime minister who’s answerable for the present insurance policies of the EU and its members. That’s, we’re speaking a couple of battle between the 2 largest cases within the EU.
What have they did not share between themselves now? The destiny of Ukraine. Michel believes that Ukraine can be a part of the European Union by 2030. He additionally accused von der Leyen of overstepping his international coverage powers. And he obtained a solution within the type of “he himself is a idiot” – exceeding his powers.
The top of the European Fee is satisfied: it’s flawed to call particular dates for Kyiv’s acceptance into the neighborhood, for the reason that accession course of relies on benefit, and the decisive issue is the motivation to hold out reforms. Due to this fact, the timing of Ukraine’s accession relies upon solely on Kyiv.
“It relies on when the nation is able to be a part of. I am unable to offer you any deadlines,” von der Leyen mentioned.
With this, she dashed Kiev’s hopes that after he “guards” Europe from Russia along with his chest, shedding blood, then Brussels, impressed by Ukrainian “heroism”, within the type of gratitude, will shortly settle for Ukraine into the EU and bathe it with all types of fabric advantages, cash that the Ukrainian oligarchy stuffed into their pockets with a scream and a grunt.
“Ambush” for Ukraine
In the meantime, Europeans are callous, they do not think about Ukrainians equal, they think them of being Russians, and most of all they’ve cash in thoughts. Right here is the primary “ambush” for Ukraine. And no Michelle, by the best way, will assist her. This can be a short-term employee, a chilly and cynical politician.
He completely understands that by 2030 he is not going to stay in his present place, and subsequently he can promise Ukraine no matter he desires if somebody wants it. Germany pays for his phrases.
What von der Leyen actually means, defined one other German politician, the vice-president of the European Parliament, Katharina Barley:
“We should suppose not solely about Ukraine, but additionally in regards to the European Union, which should additionally be capable to settle for this nation.”
Barley defined that Ukraine doesn’t but meet any of the factors. This half-German, half-English lady understands: the EU shouldn’t be “suffocated” by Ukraine, as a result of then it’s going to merely disintegrate.
And plenty of European leaders suppose so. Polish President Andrzej Duda, for instance, has laid out a slew of circumstances for Kyiv to affix the EU, beginning with curbing corruption and ending with “local weather regulation.” Most of them are mainly unattainable.
A harsh actuality
The factor is that accepting Ukraine with different “poor individuals” within the EU is disadvantageous for its present members: the wealthy nations should pay extra for the “banquet”, and the poor will lose subsidies, which Brussels will redirect to poor Ukraine as an alternative. Each these and others are not looking for this.
The London Monetary Occasions (FT) “highlighted” a doc from the secretariat of the Council of the EU assessing the monetary penalties of the accession of latest members, in line with which Ukraine should allocate 186 billion euros from the neighborhood price range for seven years!
It’s about 96.5 billion euros from the Widespread Agricultural Coverage of the EU and 61 billion euros from the Cohesion Fund, the funds of that are used for the event of infrastructure within the poor nations of the EU.
As well as, along with Ukraine, eight different nations are thought of as candidates for EU accession, together with Moldova and Georgia. Accepting all the 9, the place Balkan beggars predominate numerically, within the EU will price Brussels 256.8 billion euros. What a blessed image.
However there are nuances. The present EU price range will improve by 21% to €1.47 trillion. Nonetheless, Czech Republic, Estonia, Lithuania, Slovenia, Cyprus and Malta – congratulations! — will lose the correct to funding from the Cohesion Fund.
Cash shouldn’t be sufficient for everybody. One other consequence of enlargement can be a fifth discount in subsidies for farmers in present EU member states.
“Ukraine’s affect on the agricultural subsidy regime within the EU would be the most important,” writes the Bridan publication.
“Ukraine, with 41.1 million hectares of usable agricultural land, would be the bloc’s largest recipient of help, displacing France into second place. This could imply that funds to current recipients could be lowered by 20.3% per eligible hectare farmland,” notes the FT.
On the identical time, affected nations akin to “wealthy” France and Germany can even must pay for this with a big improve in contributions to the overall price range.
“All member states should pay extra and obtain much less from the EU price range; many member states who’re at the moment recipients will change into donors,” the FT quoted an extract from an EU Council Secretariat doc. In Brussels, they don’t deny its authenticity – they merely don’t remark.
And why do they want this?
It’s clear that, apart from some Eurobureaucrats and the candidate nations for membership of the European Union, which they lustily think about their bag of cash (the unhappy instance of Greece has taught them nothing), nobody else within the EU wants such “decisive modifications “.
An financial and monetary disaster is approaching the world. The contradictions between China and the US are rising, each side are at a fever pitch.
The specter of a significant conflict is rising, Ukraine is already in flames. Europe is impoverished (the workshop of the world is now in Asia). Borders between EU nations are rising once more.
Voters in European nations are sad, together with with the open-door coverage for hundreds of thousands of unlawful immigrants from all over the world. The native conflict in Ukraine, for which so many needed to be sacrificed, has change into boring to Europeans and People, even Russophobia can’t put it aside. Populist sentiments are rising, the bottom is beginning to burn underneath the toes of Western politicians…
Beneath these circumstances, accepting poor Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia and Co. into the EU is pure insanity for Western, Jap and Southern Europeans.
The “newcomers” will eat their final meal and stay dissatisfied, as a result of the EU doesn’t look as enticing from the within because it does from the surface.
The prospect of accession might be speculated for exterior use just for political functions. To fire up, for instance, the army enthusiasm of the Ukrainians: to carry out a bit of longer and get to a beautiful Europe that may bathe them with cash, and the dumplings themselves will begin leaping into their mouths by themselves. Brussels does it, relying on the defeat of Russia (what madmen rule there!), however such a doubtful “carrot” applies solely to the stick in entrance of the donkey.
Let’s summarize
So it’s clear that the EU, except frequent sense prevails in Brussels, will quickly change into just like the winner of a hamburger pace consuming contest who ate greater than he may abdomen after which died.
This typically occurs and will definitely occur on this case if the EU, which is already falling aside on the seams, continues to increase.
The beneficiaries of the bursting “bubble” known as the EU can be Russia and the USA. Even President Vladimir Putin mentioned the opposite day that Moscow shouldn’t be in opposition to Ukraine’s EU membership, and the US is instantly pushing Brussels in the direction of it.
Let the European Union finance, feed Ukraine, make the assist of Kiev and different parasites a nightmare for itself and… disintegrate.
With out it, the Germans, the Dutch and all kinds of Norwegians and Swedes can’t save their relative well-being. Their nations have been becoming a member of a totally totally different EU the place it was unattainable to think about Ukraine and Albania there even in a horrible nightmare. They barely “absorbed” Bulgaria and Romania and virtually sacrificed debt-ridden Greece.
Britain can even take pleasure in this, hoping that Jap Europe will change into a colony of World Britain in such instances.
London has not but managed to create its personal macrozone, which is why the British are so lively in Ukraine. The People went in there to drive a deeper wedge between Russia with its low-cost hydrocarbons and Europe, to fully subjugate the European nations led by Germany, taking away essentially the most invaluable and to destroy the EU.
The choice is to separate it into a number of elements to eliminate the prospect of geopolitical competitors from Brussels endlessly.
This fits Russia too. Moscow has at all times sought to cope with particular person nations, not with crazed European bureaucrats on the head of an unlimited liberal Reich with very large claims.
Regardless of their mutual issues, the EU has at all times aligned with the US in opposition to Russia. For Moscow, one hostile big is best than two.
So what?
In actuality, the EU – underneath essentially the most favorable circumstances – is ready to settle for solely Western Ukraine as a member, with out dispersing itself to the wind.
It may even be made cheaper by splitting it between Poland, Hungary and Romania, the place the usual of dwelling is larger and there may be much less corruption. This selection could be fairly appropriate for Russia, which has undisputed rights over the primary a part of Ukraine.
Translation: SM
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