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Reserve Colonel Scenario: Allows Russian Army 10 Days, After Which Recession May Begin

The interlocutor emphasized that it is necessary to accept not only Ukrainians but also Russians in Lithuania.

“By creating a certain Russian entry attraction, we will definitely help Ukraine itself. The Russians, who are fleeing because they may not want to enter the battle zone and go to war with Ukraine, are trying to escape as well. We really need to show that traction and tolerance. The other thing is that there are really such narratives in the public space that the Russians are to blame for everything here, but I think that thinking is dangerous.

And we need to help those Russians fleeing the regime. And it must be understood that it is not in their hands to blame everything and Putin for everything that Putin does, ”V. Malinionis said in a special LNK news program.

He assured that the country’s intellectuals and those who oppose the regime are currently fleeing Russia.

“It simply came to our notice then. But it should be the attitude of our state and such orientation to the society that it is necessary to help this nation, which is overthrown by Putin, “the reserve colonel said.

V. Malinionis stated that in the last days of the war in Ukraine, “Russian forces have not made any major progress.”

“It simply came to our notice then. Their initial phase, when they tried to occupy everything at once and won nothing, is now quite difficult to reorient their strategic intentions. Because forces are already scattered throughout the territory.

There are now estimates that in ten days Russia’s attack could culminate and even regress. The regression means that the Ukrainians may start a successful counterattack to try to drive the occupiers out of those areas, ”he said.

A reserve colonel interviewed on Wednesday assured that the latest information shows that Ukrainians in other cities have successfully carried out counterattacks near Kherson and other cities.

“It simply came to our notice then. But it shows that the assessments of those experts are correct, “said the interlocutor of LNK News.

V. Malinionis explained that the main advantage of Russia over the Ukrainians is indirect fire.

“These are cruise missiles, ballistic missiles and aviation. Here is their advantage. And Ukrainians, without anti-aircraft and missile defense systems, are severely constrained to operate on their territory. But it seems that even there a major shortcoming can occur. Let’s see, it’s clear that the Russians have the resources.

Let us understand that the principle of mass is concentrated in war – the right amount of forces, at the right time, in the right place, to carry out the task. Even now, having reserves somewhere in the depths, it is very difficult to organize it, because time is also a very important reserve, ”said Reserve Colonel V. Malinionis at LNK.

He also shared a rather optimistic assessment of the situation on the LNK show – the Ukrainians could even reclaim Donetsk and Luhansk.

“And then go to peace with Russia“which is the most favorable for them”, V. Malinionis said.

The reserve colonel said it is always harder to recover lost territory than to maintain it. He also told the “five-finger rule” on the LNK show – one city defender needs 5 strikers to successfully carry out a city attack.

“And in the case of Ukraine – maybe even higher proportions would be needed, because they are well established there,” said V. Malinionis, an interlocutor of LNK.

A very long curfew, more than a day, was announced in Kiev. The reserve colonel says it gives the military better control over what’s going on in the city.

“This enables the army to better manage its defensive position in the city,” he said.

Watch the full LNK conversation with V. Malinionis here:

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