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Qatar’s Nebras deal with Aditya Birla Group’s green arm on hold

Nebras Power‘s Bid for Aditya Birla’s Renewable Energy Stake Halted Amid Valuation Issues

In a significant development in India’s renewable energy sector, Qatar’s Nebras Power has put its plan to acquire a 49% stake in Aditya Birla Group‘s renewable energy business on hold, primarily due to a “valuation mismatch.” This move, which was intended to raise approximately $400 million, reflects ongoing challenges in the booming green energy market.

Background on the Acquisition Attempts

Aditya Birla Group, which had engaged Standard Chartered for the sale of the stake, has been exploring strategic partnerships to expand its renewable resources business tied to Grasim Industries. Reports from Mint earlier in December indicated that negotiations with Nebras Power were progressing, but recent updates suggest that these discussions have stalled.

The field has also attracted significant interest from other institutional investors, including Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) and BlackRock’s Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP). The heightened interest underscores a growing recognition of India’s potential to become a leader in renewable energy.

“India aims to double its green energy capacity to 500 gigawatts by 2030,” noted industry insiders, indicating a surge of interest from major players in the sector. With an installed renewable capacity of 210 GW—comprising 90.76 GW of solar and 47.36 GW of wind power—India is well-positioned to attract investments on a global scale.

The Drawbacks in the Indian Market

Despite the promise of growth in India’s renewable energy sector, challenges persist. Vinay Rustagi, senior director, global head of renewables at Crisil Ltd, commented on the core issues, stating, “But the Indian market faces a particular challenge because returns are at the lower end, whereas execution risks are relatively higher.” This has resulted in intense competition during utility-scale auctions and within the commercial and industrial (C&I) market, where more entrants are vying for market share.

The valuation differences between Nebras and Aditya Birla Group are pivotal in understanding the stagnation of discussions. Expert opinions point towards changing global return expectations, exacerbated by shifting macroeconomic conditions, as contributing factors to the impasse.

Future Prospects for Aditya Birla Renewables

Aditya Birla Renewables is on an ambitious trajectory to increase its renewable energy capacity to 4.5 GW by FY26. This growth will be largely driven by both utility projects and C&I investments. The company is navigating a competitive environment as it seeks to enhance its capabilities amidst the backdrop of India’s evolving energy landscape.

The investment portfolio of Nebras Power, owned by Qatar Electricity Water Company, currently boasts an installed capacity of 6.79 GW, presenting itself as a formidable player in the market. AIMCo, with assets worth $168.9 billion, includes a $20 billion global portfolio in infrastructure and renewables, showcasing the depth of institutional investment interest in the sector.

A Landscape of Increasing Investments

The Indian renewable energy sector is witnessing a flurry of activity. Recent reports indicate that several high-profile deals are in the pipeline. For instance, Thailand’s Banpu Public Company Ltd is joining forces with Generation Investment Management’s Just Climate LLP, led by former US Vice President Al Gore, alongside Singapore’s CapitaLand Investment Ltd to acquire Eversource Capital-backed Radiance Renewables Pvt. Ltd in a deal valued at around $325 million.

Moreover, Australian superannuation funds, including AustralianSuper and Hostplus, are eyeing investments within the domestic renewable space, further emphasizing the global appetite for participation in the sector.

Government Support and Infrastructure Development

India’s government is actively promoting local manufacturing in the green energy sphere, with around 10 GW of installed cell production and 60 GW of module manufacturing capacity already established. The sector has attracted approximately ₹8.5 trillion in investments between 2014 and 2023, reinforcing the government’s commitment to renewable energy.

States like Rajasthan, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka are at the forefront of developing green energy projects, collectively amassing significant installed capacities.

As the dynamics of the renewable energy market in India evolve, the potential ramifications are profound—not just for stakeholders like Aditya Birla Group, Nebras, and AIMCo, but for the technology landscape as a whole. Increased investments and innovative projects stand to bolster India’s status as a global renewable powerhouse.

For more insights into the impacts of the green energy boom and related transformative projects, visit our article archives.

Feel free to share your thoughts on this intriguing development in the comments below. What do you think about the challenges in valuing renewable energy projects? Join the conversation!

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