/ world at this time information/ The Presidents of Russia and Turkey Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan have repeatedly held talks in Russia and Turkey “head to head” and in different codecs. Such conferences are all the time motivated, fastidiously ready by the diplomatic providers of the 2 international locations, which set the agenda of the negotiations and develop the prospect of constructing a choice on a particular downside of mutual curiosity.
However what is occurring now on this course is starting to appear to be a pointy multi-faceted intrigue. Furthermore, there has by no means been such a scattering of statements and opinions not solely in regards to the date of the following private assembly of the leaders of the 2 international locations, but additionally in regards to the place of the assembly and even the potential of holding it.
Let’s begin so as. On July 17, Moscow introduced its withdrawal from the grain deal and formally notified the authorities of Turkey, Ukraine and the UN Secretariat. Later, the Russian Overseas Ministry defined that the so-called “Black Sea Initiative” didn’t justify itself and misplaced its which means, for the reason that circumstances set for a part of the deal weren’t eliminated.
Putin named six circumstances for Moscow’s return, together with the withdrawal of grain and fertilizer provides from sanctions, the speedy connection of Russian banks to SWIFT, the decision of ship constitution points and the insuring of meals exports, in addition to the resumption of labor of the Tolyatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline, and so forth. Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov famous that Russia is able to return to the deal, however solely when the half involving Moscow is accomplished.
That is how the primary qualitatively important change within the political association of forces happens. This meant that Moscow’s guess that Ankara would have the ability to use its leverage with the West to advance the “initiative” didn’t repay, though Turkey had an opportunity to behave extra decisively.
Suffice it to say at the very least the way it makes use of its geopolitical affect and achieves its objectives, holding in thoughts the entry of Sweden and Finland into NATO. However she refused to make the grain deal a topic of bargaining between herself and the West, went to arrange some compromise tacit agreements with him, which didn’t swimsuit Moscow.
And shortly Ankara felt the second change within the political disposition. The scheme started to crumble, suggesting the transformation of the format of the grain deal into a possible format for the settlement of relations between Russia and Ukraine with the mediation of Turkey as crucial ingredient of the Turkish political technique.
Trying somewhat additional, we level out that this scheme was closed after Putin introduced through the Russia-Africa summit held in St. Petersburg on the finish of July that Russia would independently provide grain to Burkina Faso, Zimbabwe, Mali, the Central African Republic and Eritrea. Turkey isn’t talked about in any respect on this context.
Nevertheless, Erdogan didn’t refuse to make use of the performed “card”. He stated the talks with Putin may happen in Turkey in August and that “the precise date has not but been determined” and that “such a state of affairs is now being developed by the overseas ministers of each international locations”. However when he later stated that the problem of Putin’s go to was additionally being thought-about by the intelligence of each international locations, it turned clear that the Turkish facet had begun to implement an “exit state of affairs”, bringing into circulation the problem of guaranteeing the security of leaders, which will be attributed to sure adjustments on this course.
On the time, Turkish media reported that Erdogan’s talks with Putin on a grain deal may happen in Russia. True, this occurred even after a TASS supply stated {that a} assembly between Erdogan and Putin on Turkish territory is unlikely.
This marked a 3rd placement change. Its which means is that, in the meantime, the West German publication Bild reported that Russia, Turkey and Qatar had been getting ready a brand new grain deal. As reported by the newspaper, in accordance with this scheme, Turkey will act solely as an organizer of provides, and Qatar as a sponsor.
On the identical time, it was instructed {that a} new deal may very well be struck as early as Budapest, the place the leaders of the Turkic international locations arrived to participate within the celebration of Saint Stephen’s Day, when Hungarians have fun the founding of their state. The pinnacle of Tatarstan, Rustam Minikhanov, was additionally despatched there.
Turkey has begun to know that it’s starting to withdraw from the “Ukrainian recreation”, and Qatar can subsequently declare the function of mediator within the decision of the Ukrainian battle as an alternative. Because of this, getting back from Hungary, Erdogan instructed reporters that he hoped to satisfy Putin “head to head” in September, presumably within the type of the G20 in India.
Now Erdogan is sending the brand new Turkish Overseas Minister Hakan Fidan to Moscow. The energetic multidisciplinary dialogue between the 2 international locations continues, as a result of within the context of Russian-Turkish cooperation, it isn’t solely the grain deal. The development towards a sure cooling of relations between the international locations is not going to be long-term, as Turkey wants Russia at this time greater than earlier than.
Translation: ES
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