Online to the point These are comments written by Nettavisen’s editor-in-chief.
A majority of the population believes that Conservative Party leader Erna Solberg should resign before the next general election, but there are large political dividing lines and the greatest condemnation is among voters who do not vote for the Conservative Party anyway.
There is no doubt that Erna Solberg has at least temporarily lost trust as a result of her spouse’s stock trading.
In a recent opinion poll for Nettavisen, a narrow majority of 55.7 percent say that they believe that Erna Solberg should resign, 28.3 percent disagree, while 15.9 percent have not decided.
The survey also shows that there are clear political dividing lines, which can be easily summarized as the further away you are from voting Conservative, the more convinced you are that Erna Solberg must resign.
Most support among the youngest
If we look at the difference between supporters and those who think she should resign, there is least distrust among the 18-29 age group (8.4 percentage points majority for her to resign), while opposition is strongest among the elderly and among people in Oslo and Northern Norway (where twice as many think she should resign, as the proportion who give her support to remain the Conservative Party’s prime ministerial candidate).
Women are generally slightly more in favor of Erna Solberg resigning than men, but there is a majority in both groups for the Conservative leader not to stand as prime minister candidate in the 2025 election.
Clear political differences
The clearest differences are still along political lines.
Among the voters of the Progressive Party, the Conservative Party and the Christian People’s Party, there are more who want her to continue than those who want her to give up, while there is an overwhelming majority on the left for the current Conservative leader not to stand for election in 2025.
The consolation is that these are voters who would hardly vote for the Right or Erna Solberg anyway.
Here are the figures for those who think she should resign, minus those who think she should be a candidate for prime minister:
Majority of supporters:
Conservative Party: – 40.1 per cent Christian People’s Party: – 18.9 per cent Progressive Party: – 3.2 per cent
Majority of opponents:
Red: 80.9 percent SV: 80.0 percent Center Party: 71.4 percent MDG: 62.9 percent Left: 19.6 percent
Majority for Anniken Huitfeldt to also go
Interestingly, there is roughly the same majority who believe that Foreign Minister Anniken Huitfeldt must resign.
A clear majority of men think so, and overall 47 per cent think she should resign, while 30.9 per cent think Anniken Huitfeldt can continue.
The distribution is somewhat different, because in the case of the Labor Party politician, there is the greatest desire to resign in the 18–29 age group, and the greatest support among the oldest.
Despite the fact that Anniken Huitfeldt’s case also concerns possible disqualification for her spouse’s share trading, the condemnation follows slightly different political dividing lines.
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Support among their own
Like the Conservative voters, the Labor Party voters also protect their own minister, and there are more who want her to stay in office than those who want her to resign.
There is a clear majority for her to resign in Red, Center Party, SV, MDG and Venstre. In the Christian People’s Party and the Conservative Party, it is so even that the difference is not statistically significant.
The conclusion is that the voters of the Conservative Party and the Labor Party are calling for their own politician, while the voters on the left flank neither want Anniken Huitfeldt nor Erna Solberg. Among the Progress Party’s voters, there is a clear preference for Erna Solberg over the Labor Party’s minister.
The big question is what this poll means for the fate of the two politicians. Erna Solberg emphasizes that she has solid support among her own people, and that is correct. Over 60 percent of Høyre’s voters say that they trust what she has explained about the share issue, and an equally large proportion are against her resigning.
Only around 20 percent of Conservative voters want her to resign, and roughly the same number do not trust what she has explained. For the time being, she is thus quite secure as leader of the Conservative Party and can count herself happy that she does not need the trust of Rødt’s voters.
2023-10-03 20:54:47
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