/ world today news/ The normal epidemic development suggests that we are currently at the beginning of the turbulence of the fourth wave, Prof. Todor Kantarjiev commented for BTA. He visited Smolyan at the invitation of the Regional Health Inspectorate and held an informational meeting about vaccination.
Prof. Kantarjiev predicts that the fourth wave is expected to reach a peak, not a plateau, in the spread diagram of the virus.
According to the epidemiologist, even if there is a certain stabilization of the number of cases, there will immediately be a second subsequent wave /of an increase in the number of sick people/. I hope that with today’s decision of the Minister of Health to introduce measures, from next week maybe things will be brought under some control, Prof. Kantarjiev believes.
From the beginning of August, a more violent epidemic spread of the coronavirus was allowed in our country, and the morbidity values for the country were reached within weeks, while during the second and third waves, it happened in months, Prof. Kantarjiev pointed out. According to him, this is due both to the fact that the Indian Delta variant of the virus turns out to be much more infectious than the previous variants circulating in Europe, and also due to the neglect of anti-epidemic measures.
It strikes me that 12 districts in the country have a distribution of the number of cases over 250 per 100,000 on a 14-day basis, which speaks of the need for some rethinking of the control approach, added the epidemiologist. According to him, the data on the number of cases of covid in the capital are less than the average values for the country for a 14-day period. This shows, according to Prof. Kantarjiev, that the levels of turbulence and diffuse spread of the infection in society have not yet been reached, when anti-epidemic measures are no longer effective.
We are still in clusters and outbreaks /of the covid infection/ and we need to delay reaching the period of diffuse spread, according to Prof. Kantarjiev. He predicted that even after the declines in the spread of the virus, it is possible to see new increases and peaks before we are out of the fourth wave, because the country has a compactly living population that is not vaccinated or poorly vaccinated. What we need to do right now is to vaccinate the maximum number of people, Prof. Kantarjiev is emphatic. According to his assessment, distrust of vaccines has been allowed in our society as a result of a crisis of authority.
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