Home » News » Prof. Kantardzhiev predicts peak after peak in the turbulence of the fourth wave

Prof. Kantardzhiev predicts peak after peak in the turbulence of the fourth wave

Our society has become distrustful of vaccines as a result of a crisis of authority, said the prominent specialist

The normal epidemic development suggests that we are currently at the beginning of the turbulence of the fourth wave, commented for BTA Prof. Todor Kantardzhiev. He visited Smolyan at the invitation of the Regional Health Inspectorate and held an information meeting on vaccination.

Prof. Kantardzhiev predicts that the fourth wave is expected to reach a peak, not a plateau in the virus distribution diagram. According to the epidemiologist, even if there is some stationing in the number of cases, there will be a second wave immediately afterwards (an increase in the number of patients).

It is possible that even after the decline in the spread of the virus, there will be new increases and peaks before we come out of the fourth wave, as the country has a compact living population that is not vaccinated or is poorly vaccinated, said the expert.

We are still in clusters and outbreaks (of covid infection) and we must delay the period of diffuse spread, said Prof. Kantardzhiev.

He expressed hope that with today’s decision of the Minister of Health to introduce new measures from next week, things will be brought under some control.

Since the beginning of August, a more rapid epidemic spread of the coronavirus has been allowed in our country and the incidence values ​​for the country have been achieved within weeks, while in the second and third waves it happened in months, said Prof. Kantardzhiev. According to him, this is due both to the fact that the Indian Delta variant of the virus is much more contagious than the previous variants circulating in Europe, and also due to the neglect of anti-epidemic measures.

It impresses me that 12 districts in the country have a distribution of the number of cases over 250 per 100,000 on a 14-day basis, which speaks of the need for some rethinking of the control approach, the epidemiologist added. According to him, the data on the number of cases of covid in the capital are less than the national average for a 14-day period.

This, according to Prof. Kantardzhiev, shows that the levels of turbulence and diffuse spread of the infection in the society have not been reached yet, when the anti-epidemic measures are no longer effective.

The most important thing now is to vaccinate the maximum number of people, Prof. Kantardzhiev is categorical. According to him, our society has lost confidence in vaccines as a result of a crisis of authority.

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