Lebanon’s Presidential Election: A Pivotal Moment
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With Lebanon’s presidential election looming large on Thursday, the nation holds its breath. The outcome will significantly impact the country’s stability and future, notably given the complex regional dynamics at play. Former Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, Elie Ferzli, recently shared his outlook on the upcoming vote, offering a nuanced view of the possibilities.
In an interview with the Kuwaiti newspaper,Al-Anbaa,Ferzli emphasized the uncertainty surrounding the election.He stated, “The issue is not optimism or pessimism, but rather protecting lebanon from the repercussions of regional and international changes and developments through the election of a president of the republic and the return of general order to constitutional institutions, which in order to achieve, Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri is intensifying his efforts in parallel with an internal movement by all political parties. Concerned with getting Lebanon out of the presidential vacancy crisis, to secure favorable conditions that produce a president of the republic.”
Ferzli highlighted the important gap between the political will to elect a president and the practical realities of securing the necesary votes. He explained that either a supermajority of 86 votes, potentially achieved through constitutional amendments or broad consensus, or a simple majority of 65 votes, requiring a more contested election, could determine the outcome. “The political parties still have enough time to reach an understanding among themselves, and we may witness positive arrangements before or even during the session that will lead the elections to the desired moment and lead to white smoke rising from the dome of Parliament,” he noted.
Addressing Speaker Berri’s optimism, Ferzli dismissed the notion of external influence. He clarified,”I do not beleive that there is a secret word,external suggestion,or specific signal behind Speaker Berri’s optimism about the results of next Thursday’s session. Rather, he has a great insistence on ending the presidential vacancy through a successive session, which will not be adjourned until after the president is elected. If there had actually been external pressure to elect this or that candidate, one of the previous sessions would have settled the matter and ended the presidential vacancy.Today, we are 4 days away from the session to elect a president for the country, and we hope that it will be a productive and decisive session that will move Lebanon towards the better.”
Nonetheless of the method of election, Ferzli stressed the need for a unifying leader.He continued,”Whatever the method by which the incoming president will win the presidency,whether he wins an electoral battle or by consensus between the parliamentary blocs,he will not come with a magic wand in his hand. What is therefore required is for him to be an inclusive president for the Lebanese who respects the constitution, and is capable, based on his ethics and constitutional ethics, of producing a new authority that restores general order to the constitutional institutions and launches the wheel of the state in all directions and at all levels to restore Lebanon to its previous era.”
Ferzli acknowledged the significant impact of regional events, particularly the recent conflict with Israel and the Syrian civil war. He stated,”There is no doubt that the regional variables,most notably the results of the war with Israel and the fall of the Assad regime,are extremely significant and have major and grave repercussions on Lebanon,the state and the entity. But what must be highlighted is that no matter how fragmented Lebanon is from external variables, it will remain as it was before and as the entire world knew it, more like a phoenix rising from the ashes and rising like the sun to its natural location.”
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LebanonS Presidential Election: Dialog with Expert Elie Ferzli
Lebanon is on the brink of a pivotal presidential election with potentially profound consequences for the nation’s future. in this exclusive interview, Senior editor of World Today News speaks with Elie Ferzli, a prominent Lebanese political figure and former Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, to gain insight into the complexities surrounding this crucial electoral process.
##Facing Uncertainty: The Road to a New President
Senior Editor: Mr.Ferzli, Lebanon faces a critical juncture with the upcoming presidential election. How would you characterize the prevailing mood in the country?
Elie Ferzli: The atmosphere is one of cautious anticipation. There isn’t necessarily rampant optimism or pessimism, but rather a sense of urgency and a profound desire to see stability restored. The focus is on electing a president who can navigate the complex regional and international dynamics at play and guide Lebanon towards a more secure future.
The Path to Consensus
Senior Editor: What are the main
challenges to achieving a consensus on a new president?
Elie Ferzli: the primary hurdle lies in bridging the gap between the political will to elect a president and the practical realities of securing the necessary votes. We have two potential pathways. One involves a supermajority of 86 votes, which may require constitutional amendments or broad consensus among diverse political factions.Alternatively, a simple majority of 65 votes could suffice, but this would likely result in a more contested election.
Senior Editor: Speaker Berri has expressed optimism about the chances of electing a president.What is your assessment of his outlook?
Elie Ferzli:
While I admire Speaker Berri’s determination, I don’t believe his optimism stems from any secret agreements or external pressure. He is simply driven by a deep commitment to ending the presidential vacancy through persistent dialogue and successive parliamentary sessions. If there had been meaningful external influence pushing for a particular candidate, the matter would have likely been settled in one of the previous sessions.
The Need for Unity
Senior Editor: What qualities should the next president possess to effectively address Lebanon’s challenges?
Elie Ferzli: Regardless of the method of election, lebanon needs a unifying leader. They must be committed to upholding the constitution, fostering inclusivity, and building a new administration that restores order to our institutions.
Senior Editor: The Middle East has experienced significant upheaval in recent years, including the conflict with israel and the Syrian civil war. How do these regional developments impact Lebanon’s internal political landscape?
Elie Ferzli: Undoubtedly, these regional events have profound repercussions for Lebanon. They remind us of our vulnerability and the need for stability. However, Lebanon has faced tremendous adversity throughout its history and has always demonstrated remarkable resilience. Despite external challenges, I firmly believe in Lebanon’s ability to rise above these difficulties and emerge stronger.
