Back to the 2012 elections
On Sunday April 22, 2012, the 20,503 voters in Thionville who came to vote at the ballot box (out of 26,719 registered voters) during the first round of the presidential election granted 30% of their votes to outgoing President Nicolas Sarkozy . Nineteen polling stations had placed him in the lead out of twenty-seven.
However, his score was already down by almost 4 points compared to the first round of 2007. Hounded by François Hollande, credited with 26%, the founder of LR will again arrive in the lead in Thionville on the evening of the second round, the May 6, 2012. With nearly 53% of the vote, he symbolized the desire of a majority of Thionville voters not to drown in a pink wave.
However, in the end, it is the socialist candidate who will win the Elysée, with 51.67% against 48.33%.
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The Macron rocket in 2017
On the evening of April 23, 2017, Emmanuel Macron had arrived, with 26% of the votes, at the head of the first round of the presidential election in Thionville. An event for a city that used to offer itself to the right. To the traditional right, it should be specified. Because it seems difficult to qualify the current candidate president as a man of the left…
François Fillon (22.02%), supported by the mayor Pierre Cuny, if he had preceded Marine Le Pen (18.67%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (18.49%), had arrived far behind the score achieved by Nicolas Sarkozy five years earlier (minus 8 points).
In the second round, like most of the country’s urban centers, Thionville had placed Emmanuel Macron very clearly in the lead. In the second city of Moselle, the elected president had obtained 71.10% of the votes. A score close to that obtained in Metz (71.89%) or Épinal (71.46%) but far from that of Nancy (81.35%). Thionvillois voters, who had already sanctioned the FN by depriving it of the second round of the partial municipal election of 2015, had confirmed, on the occasion of this presidential election, their allergy to the party of Marine Le Pen.
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Outlook 2022
In 2022, the cards have been widely redistributed. The Socialist Party, in power ten years earlier, is moribund. As proof, the 2% of voting intentions credited to Anne Hidalgo. The right is hardly better off with Valérie Pécresse, who according to the latest Ifop poll carried out this Sunday by The Sunday newspaper , has just fallen below the 10% mark. Never seen.
Under these conditions, a new Macron-Le Pen duel seems inevitable since the two are credited respectively with 26 and 21% of voting intentions in the first round. Far ahead of the others. The president of the RN could even, unlike 2017, benefit this time from vote transfers from the party of Eric Zemmour, or even that of Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
Cross-border workers residing in Thionville could also be tempted by this choice, the president of the RN having removed from her program her idea hitherto unacceptable, for them, of closing borders and leaving the European Union.
It now remains to know the abstention rate, 31% of voters not intending to go to the polls this Sunday. By way of comparison, in 2012, the abstention rate in Thionville was 24% in the first round and 23% in the second.
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