A “peak” in the spread of the coronavirus will occur in the fall in the worst-case scenario, warns the public health of Canada, calling on the provincial authorities to plan everything to prevent the system from becoming congested to the point of not being able to contain a resurgence of the disease.
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“What we are asking everyone in the health care system is” for anything that may exceed your current capabilities […] do you have backup plans? Be prepared, ”said Dr. Theresa Tam, chief administrator of the Public Health Agency of Canada on Friday.
The chief medical officer discouraged Canadians from indulging in a relaxation of compliance with measures such as physical distancing, as she presented the most recent federal projections for the spread of COVID-19.
“In the fall, we will start to go home [davantage] inside [en plus de] the normal season for other respiratory infections and the flu, said deputy, Dr Howard Njoo. It is very important to continue with our efforts. ” He made particular reference to going back to school.
According to modeling released by Ottawa on Friday, the “worst-case scenario” is that an “fall peak” occurs, followed by other peaks and troughs during which the health care system could not, at times, meet the needs. in services.
However, what public health calls a possible “recrudescence” and not a “second wave” can be avoided if all the gum is put, it is said.
If one relies on the cases of contagion in recent weeks, the federal warning seems to be aimed particularly at young people.
“Since the beginning of July, the highest incidence of COVID-19 has been observed in people aged 20 to 39,” noted in the documents for Friday’s announcement.
However, the progression of the disease has slowed down in all age groups lately.
In the shorter term, Ottawa expects there will be 121,650 to 127,740 cases of COVID-19 by August 23, and between 8,980 and 9,115 deaths nationwide.
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