2024 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture
Introduction
After months of speculation and anticipation, the 2024 Oscar Awards ceremony is finally around the corner. Hollywood is buzzing with predictions and expectations for the winners of the prestigious Best Picture category. In a year that has seen a mix of acclaimed films and standout performances, the race for the top honor is hotly contested. Here, we present our predictions for the 2024 Oscars, focusing on the Best Picture category.
The Contenders
Despite a year of fierce competition and nominations for remarkable films like “Barbie,” “The Zone of Interest,” “Anatomy of a Fall,” “Past Lives,” “The Holdovers,” and “Oppenheimer,” the 2024 Oscars may surprise us with a rather predictable outcome. Certain front runners have dominated the awards season, particularly with stellar performances from actors like Robert Downey Jr. and Da’Vine Joy Randolph.
In addition, categories like Best Score, Best Cinematography, Best Editing, and Best Costumes appear to have unanimous winners. The craftsmen behind these categories have left no room for surprise, with their exceptional expertise and creativity.
A Battle for the Lead
While some categories have clear front runners, the lead acting categories present a more ambiguous scenario. There seems to be a heated two-person race in both categories, with contenders including Lily Gladstone, Emma Stone, Cillian Murphy, and Paul Giamatti. However, the unpredictable nature of Oscar voting in the final days may have unexpected results.
(Photo by ABC)
Academy Oversights
The Academy has been known for its surprising omissions, and this year is no exception. Despite the acclaim received by certain films within the Academy, several actors failed to secure nominations. The absence of Greta Lee for “Past Lives” has sparked disappointment and critique. Notably, Greta Gerwig and Margot Robbie, who were also overlooked for Best Director and Best Actress respectively, may still have a chance to take home an Oscar in other categories.
On the other hand, names like Lee, Teyana Taylor (“A Thousand and One”), and Natalie Portman (“May December”) unfortunately have no similar prospects for recognition.
Oppenheimer’s Triumph
One film has stood out throughout the awards season and is heading towards record-breaking success on our Awards Leaderboard. “Oppenheimer” is set to become the most awarded film since our tracking began. However, its dominance does not guarantee an easy win in the Best Picture category. Unless it secures the majority of votes, a ranked choice ballot scenario might come into play. This could potentially provide an opportunity for contenders such as “Barbie” or “The Holdovers” to challenge the presumptive winner.
(Photo by Melinda Sue Gordon/©Universal Pictures)
Predictions and Expectations
Looking ahead to Oscar night, we predict an exciting and eventful ceremony. As always, the show is sure to deliver plenty of surprises and moments that will leave us talking for weeks to come. As our Awards Editor, Jacqueline Coley has expertly analyzed factors like critical reception, nominations, and wins from guilds and industry groups, these predictions are based on a combination of statistical analysis and the industry buzz surrounding the nominees.
Conclusion
The 2024 Oscar Awards are poised to be a memorable event, filled with deserving winners and outstanding achievements in filmmaking. The nominees have given us exceptional performances, and the competition has been fierce. With all the drama and anticipation surrounding the event, we eagerly await the unveiling of the winners. Join us on Tuesday, March 5th, at 8 a.m. EST/5 a.m. PST on ABC, and let us know your thoughts on who will take home the coveted Best Picture award.
