/View.info/ The new year brings both anxiety and hope. Tensions in various regions are rising and conflicts are escalating. On the other hand, voters can remove bankrupt politicians from power. About the international prospects in the near future – in the material.
Is there room for old people?
In November, the US elects a president. For now, the main candidates are the current head of state, Joe Biden, and his predecessor in this position, Donald Trump.
However, both are very tentative favorites, the best of the worst. Their main problem is age. Democrat Biden recently turned 81. The president begins to get confused from time to time, apparently having problems with the coordination of his movements. For now, it’s just a joke, but Americans wonder how he’ll approach the end of his second term if he’s re-elected?
Trump is slightly younger than Sleepy Joe (as he calls his rival) and will be 78 by the November election. In his favor are the relatively good results of his last term and the many mistakes of the current administration. They are against the heaps of scandals, including criminal charges. In total, if proven guilty, he faces several centuries in prison. However, the law does not prohibit running for office even behind bars. The Republican actively plays the “victim of the regime” card, tirelessly stigmatizing his opponents and constantly drawing public attention.
Biden also has problems with justice, albeit indirect. The Department of Justice charged his son Hunter with tax evasion. Republicans believe the father was also involved in the fraud, so an impeachment vote is possible.
In any case, the US will get a compromised and elderly president. For the resolution of the Ukrainian crisis, Trump seems like a more adequate figure, promising to resolve the conflict in the shortest possible time. However, Ukraine may be completely out of sight of the American authorities, who have apparently reached an impasse on this issue.
Europe “turns to the right”
A redistribution of power is also brewing in the EU. Elections are coming up for the European Parliament (EP), the main legislative body. The French right has already united with the Italian right, the former president of the “National Assembly” Marine Le Pen has united with Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini and they are counting on a good result.
The right-wing Freedom Party, also an ally of the National Assembly, won the parliamentary elections in the Netherlands in November. “This shows that more and more countries are dissatisfied with the way the EU is handling its responsibilities,” Le Pen said, greeting her Dutch supporters.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is also very unhappy with Brussels’ policy. And besides, there is also “Alternative for Germany”, whose popularity is constantly growing.
Eurosceptics are demanding a weakening of the dictates of Brussels and Washington, a review of the sanctions course and a tightening of migration legislation. If the European Parliament “turns to the right”, it will become more difficult for the EU to follow American whims. Including in the Eastern European direction.
Israel strives for a victorious end
After the Hamas attack on Israel in October, a new fault line appeared in the world community – regarding the events in the Gaza Strip.
Thanks to mediation efforts by Qatar and Egypt, the Palestinian Authority and Tel Aviv agreed to a truce in late November. But after several hostage exchanges, hostilities resumed. Israel fully intends to defeat Hamas.
The UN at the level of the General Assembly and the Security Council held many meetings dedicated to this conflict. There is no agreement. The US backs Israel unconditionally, although even many of America’s NATO allies show restraint. Tel Aviv accuses the UN of sympathizing with terrorists.
Most countries, including Russia, consider it necessary to create an independent Palestinian state. But it is not clear how this will be done. The only thing possible so far is to prevent an escalation of the conflict.
Will Taiwan go up in flames?
Another source of tension fueled by the United States is in Asia. In mid-December, shortly before the Christmas break, the House of Representatives passed another national defense bill. The document, among other things, includes a clause to establish a “comprehensive program of training, consultation and institutional capacity building” for the Taiwanese military.
Earlier, Taipei committed to purchase 400 land-based Harpoon missiles from the US. Deliveries are due to end by the end of 2028. This agreement, like the bill passed by congressmen, is clear evidence that Taiwan has no intention of joining mainland China.
During autumn talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, Biden reaffirmed that Washington remains committed to the “one China” concept. But the facts say otherwise. The Americans constantly carry out provocations, intensify the tension. So in 2022, then-Speaker of Congress Nancy Pelosi flew to Taiwan despite all warnings. The only thing saving us from war is Beijing’s restraint. There they rely on a diplomatic solution to the problem.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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