Delivery time2024-01-02 16:28
Newsweek, a US current affairs weekly, introduces events that will lead to a ‘rapidly changing situation’ this year
Masks of former US President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin (right) being sold in Russia.
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(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Hwang Cheol-hwan = How would the world change if Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has been waging war in Ukraine for three years, dies suddenly, or if former President Donald Trump is re-elected in the next U.S. presidential election in November of this year?
Newsweek, an American current affairs weekly, reported on the 1st (local time) that it had selected five events that could have a huge impact on the world if they occurred this year in 2024 and listened to the opinions of related experts.
The first event chosen by this media was ‘nuclear war.’
Since invading Ukraine on February 24, 2022, President Putin has constantly mentioned the possibility of a preemptive nuclear strike and the construction of nuclear weapons infrastructure.
It is interpreted that they were trying to block the West from helping Ukraine by raising fears that if nuclear weapons were used, it would escalate into an all-out war with the West and lead to the common annihilation of humanity.
The West did not give in to these threats, and in the end, Russia failed to occupy Ukraine and was mired in an endless war of attrition.
When asked about the possibility of Russia using tactical nuclear weapons to overcome this situation, Mark Galeotti, an expert on Russian security issues, responded, “It seems there is no possibility of a nuclear conflict breaking out (within this year).”
Nikola Mikovich, a Serbian foreign policy analyst, also said that Russia would not use nuclear weapons unless it suffered a crushing defeat that would seriously affect President Putin’s rule, and even if it did, it would only be a ‘show of force’ that would not escalate into nuclear war. said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin visits Russian military hospital
(Moscow EPA=Yonhap News) Russian President Vladimir Putin visits a military hospital in Moscow, Russia and encourages soldiers on the 1st (local time). 2024.1.1
An event that seemed more realistic was the death of President Putin, who was 71 years old this year.
Newsweek said, “Putin’s health has been the subject of various speculations since the invasion of Ukraine,” and pointed out that several theories have been raised, such as that he is fighting cancer or suffering from Parkinson’s disease or dementia.
In October last year, the Kremlin even went so far as to deny a foreign media report that President Putin suffered cardiac arrest and received CPR.
Russia has also claimed that Ukraine attempted to assassinate President Putin. The truth of the claim has not been confirmed, but in reality, several influential war advocates were killed or injured in Russia after the invasion of Ukraine.
“If Putin were to die in 2024, it would have a huge impact on the system he built,” Galeotti said. Meanwhile, Mykovich said: “It would be a huge blow to Russian society, but it would not take that long for the ruling elite to find a replacement for him.” “It won’t get caught,” he predicted.
Along with this, another rapidly changing situation was the scenario of former President Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election.
Former US President Donald Trump on the campaign trail
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Newsweek pointed out, “If this year’s election proceeds according to recent opinion polls, it is highly likely that Trump will win the Republican presidential nomination and face a rematch with incumbent President Joe Biden in the November presidential election.”
In this regard, Julie Norman, a professor of American politics at University College London (UCL) in the UK, warned, “Trump’s re-election will have a negative impact throughout the world.”
He said, “If Trump’s second term becomes a reality, I am concerned that democratic norms and institutions will be damaged even more than in the first term. This will have a long-term impact on the future of democracy in the United States and around the world.” It was predicted that the policy stance would undergo rapid changes.
In addition, Newsweek consulted with experts on concerns that the emergence of generative artificial intelligence (AI) ChatGPT could lead to a future where humanity is dominated by AI, and the possibility that global warming and climate change will finally surpass the critical point. .
Experts say that although it is unlikely that a situation like a malfunction of military AI will occur, a situation where many people lose their jobs as AI is used in industrial settings could occur at any moment.
Professor Chris Brierley, a climate science expert at UCL, said, “There will be many extreme (climate) events (this year),” and “There will be some of these that I haven’t even thought of before.”
hwangch@yna.co.kr
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2024/01/02 16:28 Sent
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2024-01-02 07:28:58
