If you voted today, a hypothetical party of Giuseppe Conte could count on 16% of the votes, placing immediately after the League among the most voted political parties. The last reveals it poll conducted by Swg for La7 which certifies the prime minister’s popularity even in this phase of government instability due to the crisis opened by Italy alive. The potential pool of votes draws for one third from the undecided / abstained, 5% comes from the 5-star Movement, 4% from the Pd, 0.7% from center right and 1% from other parties. The consequence is that almost all the forces that make up the current majority they see their electorate shrink: the Democratic Party, stable at around 20% in recent weeks, in this scenario is 15.4%. The pentastellates fall even a few steps from the psychological threshold of 10% (10.1), while the consensus for the left in Leu (3.9%).
The sum of their votes, however, combined with the 16% on which the premier can currently count, would guarantee the yellow and red to play the game to return to Palazzo Chigi. Taken together, the four parties reach 45.4%. The center right, on the other hand, it is given at 43.1%: the League remains first party, but is down to 21.8%; Brothers of Italy it remained stable at 15.9%, bypassing the Pd in this particular scenario, while Forza Italia did not go beyond 5.4%. The waste between the Giallorossi and the center-right, even if narrow, it is a novelty compared to all election polls conducted in recent months: so far the Lega-Fdi-Fi coalition has always been considered the winner with a large gap of votes.
On the sidelines of the two large camps are Carlo Calenda’s party, Action, which is given at 3.7%. Italy alive to Matteo Renzi, on the other hand, it pays the price of the government crisis and stands at 2.8%, below the barrier threshold provided for by the current electoral law. If we voted today, therefore, the leader of IV would be out of Parliament. The sum of all the other parties is given at 5%, while 36% of the SWG interviewees do not express themselves. The survey, says the institute, was conducted on a sample of 1,200 subjects between January 15 and January 19, 2021. The margin of error is 2.8%.
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