Political polls, in Umbria the center-left ahead by one point, Pd first party. But the decline of the M5S worries the allies

Having closed the Liguria chapter, attention shifts to Umbria. The polls will open on Sunday 17 November and will close on Monday 18 at 3pm when the counting will begin and the winner will be known among Stefania Proietti candidate for the center-left and the Northern League rival Donatella Tesioutgoing president. According to a SWG survey on Umbria, commissioned by Avs, the centre-left would be ahead by one percentage point. Victory would come thanks to a Pd just under 30 percent and the Left Green Alliance between 6 and 7 percent. The M5S, on the other hand, would remain stuck at 4 percent.

Let’s see in detail. The Umbrians express a strong need for change and this feeling is transversal: more present among the voters of Proietti (83%) and the lists supporting him, a little more tenuous among the voters of Tesei (39%). Among the priorities on which the new administration should intervene, healthcare comes first (79%), followed, at a distance, by infrastructure, transport (32%) and education (22%). In this regard, seven out of ten citizens (72%) are critical of the healthcare management of the outgoing president Tesei. Total rejection among the centre-left, also widespread among the undecided, but there was also a negative evaluation from a third of centre-right voters.

The survey shows a slight advantage of the centre-left coalition which includes Pd, M5S, Avs and various civic lists at 48.5%; the center-right is at 47.5, a precise point of difference. The Dems stand at 29.5% as the first party, FdI is at 24.5. The M5S is bad. At the 2022 elections in Umbria the Movement took 12.7%, at the European elections 8.9%. Now it would be at 4%, a decline that worries the red-green allies and part of the Democratic Party.

In the centre-right, the alliance with Stefano Bandecchi appears controversial: it is appreciated by 38% of Tesei voters, but 30% disapprove.