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Pivotal Visit of French Special Presidential Envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian to Beirut and Potential Impact on Political Impasse

Source: news

Attention is drawn to what the French special presidential envoy, Jean-Yves Le Drian, will bring with him to Beirut, on his second visit next Monday, which is supposed to include references and messages to the local forces from the parties to the “five-party meeting” (the United States, France, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Qatar) if it takes place next Thursday. . Note that information spoke of a lack of French and Egyptian enthusiasm for the meeting to take place before Le Drian traveled to Lebanon.

Concerned sources did not express optimism about the possibility of any breakthrough soon, expressing clear doubts about Le Drian’s ability to reach a political consensus specifically on the idea of ​​dialogue that he proposes. Accordingly, the coming week will constitute a pivotal station, the conclusions of which will chart the directions of the political impasse, which will become more dramatic with the vacancy in the governorship of the Banque du Liban, after the term of the current governor, Riad Salameh, ends at the end of this month. Le Drian’s proposal for dialogue stems from the “negative balance” that the president’s election session ended on June 14, and thus the French initiative collided with a wall of quasi-“Christian consensus” against the candidacy of the head of the Marada Movement, Suleiman Franjieh.

According to informed sources, Le Drian’s previous tour witnessed the first discrepancy between France and Hezbollah since Macron’s visit following the Beirut port explosion. It is true that the French envoy did not present a new initiative to the Hezbollah delegation that met him, nor did he announce his abandonment of the old initiative, but it was clear in the folds of the discussion that the French were closer to the idea of ​​a “third candidate.” While the party delegation was clear that its reading of the results of the session was different from the French reading, and that Franjieh’s obtaining 51 votes in the first session for which he is running is not a negative balance, while the candidate of the other party (Michel Moawad) won after 11 sessions 36 votes. The delegation affirmed, “We represent a balanced and united team versus a team that intersects momentarily around a candidate, as we have gone through previous bitter experiences with which we need guarantees of a president who does not stab us in the back, and that it is out of the question to abandon Franjieh.” As for the dialogue, “we are completely open to it and its advocates, provided that it is limited to the presidential file.”

Yesterday, visitors to Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri quoted him as saying, “Le Drian is returning on the 17th of this month, and he is supposed to bring with him an invitation to dialogue,” noting that “the dialogue will be general and not bilateral, and we have set up a dialogue table in Parliament and we would prefer it to be there, knowing that the French are They suggested that it be in the Pine Palace, and some suggested that it be outside Lebanon. Berri pointed out that “he will participate in the dialogue through his representative (…) and I told Le Drian that I will not call for or sponsor the dialogue because I am a party.” And whether the French envoy had obtained the agreement of the rest of the parties to the dialogue, he replied: “It will just come to be seen.” While the sources of the President of the Council confirmed that he pinned his hopes on the Saudi-Iranian agreement, because “its positive repercussions appear in all arenas of the region, and its effects began to cascade, and whoever does not see the changes is blind, if not blind,” considering that “these effects must appear in Lebanon no matter what.” I’m late.

And after caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati decided that he “will not cover the extension for Salameh,” and that “the solution to filling the vacancies in the governance of the Banque du Liban is in applying the law that authorizes his powers to his deputy Wasim Mansouri,” Berri commented by saying: “Since the prime minister took a position not to appoint I respect this position, with my conviction that necessities allow prohibitions.

And while it has become almost settled that Mansouri will take over Salameh’s duties, there is still concern about managing the next stage, as the sources of the duo say that some want this matter to “be a trap, and everything that will happen will be blamed on Hezbollah and the Amal movement.” The sources added that with Mansouri assuming the tasks, he and the Central Council will have two options: either “continue with the measures that Salameh was taking in terms of circulars and an exchange platform or the exchange market, and therefore it will be said that he was right, knowing that they are detailed according to his own laws,” or Mansouri adheres to his position. Of these measures, which he considers illegal, which will lead to a great escape in the price of the dollar and prices, and lead the country into chaos, and push the lurkers to launch a campaign against the duo by taking the country to complete collapse, and everyone will forget Riad Salameh.

2023-07-11 03:32:10
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