Tropical Storm “Ofel” Enters Philippine Area of Responsibility, Heavy Rainfall and Strong Winds Expected
Tropical Storm “Usagi” has officially entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), where it has been designated the local name “Ofel.” The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued a Weather Advisory No. 18 as the storm is expected to bring heavy rains, severe winds, and hazardous sea conditions over the next few days.
Heavy Rainfall and Wind Alerts
As of now, Tropical Storm Ofel is not directly affecting any areas in the Philippines, but significant rainfall is anticipated. PAGASA has noted that residents should prepare for heavy rain, especially in light of concurrent weather disturbances like Tropical Depression Nika.
In terms of wind warnings, Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 is expected to be raised over parts of Cagayan Valley as early as late tonight or tomorrow morning. The strongest alert, Wind Signal No. 4, may be raised depending on the storm’s trajectory.
Wind gusts are forecasted to impact various regions at the following times:
- November 13: Catanduanes
- November 14: Batanes, Quezon, including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, and parts of northern Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes
- November 15: Isabela and northern Aurora
Local communities should take precautions as the storm evolves, especially those in coastal and upland areas exposed to strong winds.
Coastal Hazards: Rough Seas Ahead
The storm poses severe risks to marine safety, particularly in the northern coastal regions of the Philippines. The following sea conditions are anticipated within the next 24 hours:
- Very Rough to High Seas (up to 4.5 meters): Ilocos Norte and northern Ilocos Sur
- Rough Seas (up to 3.5 meters): Batanes, Cagayan, including Babuyan Islands
- Moderate Seas (up to 2.5 meters): Northern Aurora and northern Zambales
Mariners and sea travelers are advised to remain in port, while those currently at sea are instructed to seek shelter due to the hazardous conditions.
Track and Intensity Outlook for Ofel
Tropical Storm Ofel is currently forecasted to move west-northwest until the evening of November 14 before shifting to a northwest to northward track for the remainder of its forecast period. Landfall is likely to occur over Northern or Central Luzon on Thursday afternoon or evening.
Meteorologists expect Ofel to steadily intensify, potentially reaching typhoon status by Wednesday, which could mean a landfall at or near its peak intensity. Importantly, areas outside the projected landfall still face risks associated with heavy rainfall, severe winds, and possible storm surge inundation.
While there remains some uncertainty regarding the storm’s exact path, analysts highlight that regions in Northern Luzon are particularly at risk of significant impacts, with eastern Central and Southern Luzon also on watch if the tropical cyclone expands in size or shifts direction.
Safety Recommendations and Community Preparedness
Due to the unpredictability of tropical weather systems, local governments are urging residents to stay alert and prepare for emergency responses. Some proactive measures include:
- Stocking up on essential supplies such as food, water, and medications.
- Securing property against potential wind and flood damage.
- Following updates from local authorities and weather services.
Authorities remind everyone to take these warnings seriously and to maintain open communication with neighbors and local emergency services.
As Tropical Storm Ofel continues its approach, it is vital for all Filipinos to stay vigilant and act responsibly while following official advisories. Feel free to share your thoughts on this weather development or any safety tips you have found useful during storms in the comments below. Your experiences can help others prepare better during the challenging days ahead.
For ongoing updates, check PAGASA’s official website and stay safe.
