But the Labor Party still has plans to become the largest party in Oslo.
The Labor Party falls sharply in Nettavisen and Klassekampen’s recent parliamentary poll for Oslo. The party falls by five percentage points from June, and gets a result of 20.1 percent.
– Aps decline is due to fragmentation on the left. The Labor Party is definitely leaking the most voters to SV, says Martin Stubban at Sentio, who has carried out the survey.
Every third Oslo voter now says that they will vote for either SV, MDG or Rødt.
In the survey, 800 people were asked what they would vote if there were parliamentary elections tomorrow. The survey was taken from 16 to 19 August, and has a margin of error from 0.9 to 3.2 per cent.
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See the results for all parties:
Labor: – Must do better
The big decline is bad news for city council leader Raymond Johansen (Labor Party), who is the Labor Party’s front figure in Oslo. But also for his party colleagues. Because with such a result, the county party will lose one of the five parliamentary seats they have today.
This leaves the place for Oslo’s Labor Party leader, Frode Jacobsen, who has fifth place on the Storting list.
– I hope that we will both become the largest party in Oslo, and get at least five seats, Jacobsen says to Nettavisen.
– For 20 percent is too bad for you?
– Yes, we have ambitions, faith and hope for a better result than that. For us, it is important that the Labor Party makes a better result than this, he states.
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– Should be led by the Labor Party
Jacobsen is still happy the poll gives a red-green majority.
– Polls fluctuate a bit, but this poll confirms once again that the people of Oslo want a new government, and that it should be led by the Labor Party. We are the total force on the left, he says.
These would get a parliamentary seat from the Oslo Labor Party: Jonas Gahr Støre, Kamzy Gunaratnam, Espen Barth Eide and Trine Lise Sundnes. If Støre becomes prime minister, Jacobsen will step up.
The margin of error for the Labor Party in the poll is 3.1 percent.
– Sentio is more uncertain about the result for the Labor Party than before, because we have met fewer Labor voters than what was the result in the 2017 election. When weighted against the election result in 2017, the result for the Labor Party will be adjusted upwards, says Stubban about the survey.
The online newspaper has asked for a comment on the case from Raymond Johansen, but he did not have the opportunity to do so on Wednesday.
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MDG-Berg: – Hive Vedum out
The environmental parties, who are emerging in Oslo, have the most to cheer for in the poll. The Green Party (MDG) is the most advanced, to a result of a record strong 10.7 percent (+ 2.3).
– It is fun to see that people in the capital want more radical climate and nature policy. That we are now growing in the polls shows that Støre quickly needs MDG to get a majority, says MDG’s first candidate in Oslo, Lan Marie Berg, to Nettavisen, and points out:
– Our ambition is to become so big that we can pull Vedum out of a red government, and make it green as we have done in Oslo.
– Why do you think you are increasing so much now?
– I think more and more people have realized that it is only the MDGs that put power behind the demand to let the oil lie, so that we can speed up climate policy. But this will not happen without the MDGs as the largest climate party, says Berg.
The result means a parliamentary seat for both her and second candidate Rasmus Hansson.
Melby alone
But SV also does well in the survey, with a result of 13.9 percent (+ 1.7). This is 4.6 percentage points higher than the party’s election result in Oslo in 2017.
SV would get three of its list candidates in the Storting: Kari Elisabeth Kaski, Marian Hussein and Andreas Sjalg Unneland. Today, SV has two parliamentary representatives from Oslo.
In addition, the Liberal Party is advancing, with a result of 7.4 percent (+ 1.8). This is still lower than the election result in 2017, and means that the party loses one of two parliamentary seats from Oslo.
Had this been the election result, party leader Guri Melby would have been the only Liberal representative in the Storting from Oslo. However, the background figures for the poll show that the Liberal Party is only 735 votes away from taking the second seat.
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Red at 10 percent
At the same time, Rødt makes it strong in the Oslo poll, which was taken up only three weeks before the decisive parliamentary election. The party gets a support of 9.8 percent (+1.4).
– These are very good numbers, and it shows that many Oslo people want a strong force to the left of a new government, says Rødt leader Bjørnar Moxnes to Nettavisen.
Moxnes is Rødt’s first candidate in Oslo, and the poll gives both him and second candidate Seher Aydar a seat in the Storting.
And the goal is clear: Press to reduce the differences and greenhouse gas emissions.
– The fact that Rødt is so big in Oslo, it is absolutely crucial that we take the barrier limit at the national level. It will also decide whether Trygve Slagsvold Vedum and Jonas Gahr Støre must cooperate with the left after the election, says Moxnes.
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Bøhler inside
One who also secures a seat in the Storting in the Oslo poll is former Labor politician Jan Bøhler, who now represents the Center Party. The Center Party gets a support of 4.7 percent, which is 0.2 percentage points from the corresponding poll in June.
– It is very encouraging and nice to hear, says Bøhler to Nettavisen.
– I feel that there is a very good atmosphere on the street, and there are many who come to me and say that they support me – and that they have been and voted for me.
The Center Party’s Oslo result is in contrast to the party’s fall nationally, by 5.5 percentage points, in The online newspaper’s August survey which was published on Tuesday.
– What do you think is the reason why you do better in Oslo than nationally?
– In Oslo, I think we stand out well, and that the safe-by-campaign, which is my campaign, hits the mood locally in Oslo. Last night there was shooting at Trosterud, and there are quite a few similar cases. I think people follow and need security on the streets and that we must prevent such incidents better, says Bøhler.
Also read: Jan Bøhler about the break with the Labor Party: – I must be honest
Right back: – Not satisfied
At the same time, the Conservatives are down in the poll, to 22.8 percent (-2.9). Thus, the party loses one of its six seats from Oslo.
Storting representative Michael Tetzschner, who has sixth place on the Oslo Conservatives’ parliamentary list, would lose his seat in the Storting.
– Oslo Høyre aims to be the city’s largest party, secure six representatives in the Storting and continue government power, so we are not happy with this, says leader of Oslo Høyre, Heidi Nordby Lunde, to Nettavisen.
– But I hope that the voters who have the Conservatives as their party actually vote Conservative, and do not think they vote tactically if they vote otherwise. The most tactical thing they can vote for is the Conservatives, she says.
The Conservatives are still the largest party in Oslo in the poll.
These would get parliamentary seats from the Conservatives in Oslo: Ine Eriksen Søreide, Nikolai Astrup, Heidi Nordby Lunde, Mudassar Kapur and Mathilde Tybring-Gjedde.
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Frp with me
The Progress Party is also struggling, and gets a result of 5.6 percent (-0.8).
Only Oslo Frp’s first candidate, Christian Tybring-Gjedde, would get a seat in the Storting. While the party’s second candidate, Jon Helgheim, would not get a seat.
Also read: Asks the Conservatives to overtake the Oslo City Council: – The road must be forced through
KrF is also declining, receiving 1.3 per cent (-0.5). The party has no parliamentary representatives from Oslo today, and would not get it either.
Other parties, the parties that are not represented in the Storting, however, advance to 3.7 per cent (+ 1.7). The largest of the small parties is the Democrats, with 1.7 percent.
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