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OPEC+ is apparently planning to introduce oil production cuts this weekend

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, the group known as OPEC+, could impose further cuts in oil production on Sunday. These countries are evaluating the effects of the expected ban on oil exports from Russia and the introduction of a possible price cap on Russian oil, CNBC reported.

China’s oil demand is weakening

OPEC+ is a group of 23 oil producing countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia. The group will meet on Sunday to decide on further production policies. The meeting precedes the introduction of sanctions on Russian oil, which could have a major impact on the market. In addition, demand for oil in China is weakening and fears of a recession are growing.

The OPEC+ group agreed in early October to cut production by two million barrels a day starting in November. It did so despite calls from the United States to produce more, helping to lower fuel prices and boost the world economy. Bloomberg reported that OPEC cut production by a million barrels according to its poll, but Russia had ramped up production before the sanctions took effect.

The American business newspaper The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) recently wrote that the group could increase production by 500,000 barrels per day. OPEC+, however, has indicated that it may instead propose deeper production cuts to support oil prices.

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RBC Capital Markets analyst Helima Croft says output is not expected to increase after the OPEC+ meeting and there is a strong likelihood of deeper cuts. According to her, there is a lot of uncertainty in the market and delegates need to take into account what will happen with China and with oil production in Russia.

A reduction in production is expected

The price of Brent oil settled below 88 dollars (2053 crowns) per barrel, at the beginning of June it was still above 120 dollars (2799 crowns) per barrel. US WTI light oil traded below $81 (1889 kroner) a barrel, while it was even above $120 six months ago.

Other analysts also expect a reduction in production. They agree that the reason will be falling demand in China and lower oil prices in the market. According to them, the final decision will also depend on what kind of change the imposition of sanctions on Russian oil could bring to the market.

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From December 5, the ban on the import of Russian oil into the European Union by sea will come into force. The G7 group of developed countries is therefore considering fixing the maximum amount that should be paid for Russian oil. No formal deal on a price cap has yet been finalized, but Reuters reported on Thursday that EU governments had tentatively agreed on a price cap of $60 a barrel. The Kremlin has previously warned that an attempt to impose a price ceiling on Russian oil would do more harm than good.

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