In Britain, the most vaccinated vaccine is the AstraZeneca vaccine, which is produced in the country. The Indian mutation is more contagious than the so-called British variant, which previously dominated the country. PHE states that it is up to 64 percent more contagious within the home, but it is also dangerous outside, when it spreads up to 40 percent easier than the original virus.
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Currently, the Indian mutation dominates in the UK, suffering from 90 percent of all infected. Researchers warn that the United Kingdom could face a third wave of pandemics in the near future. Daily increases in the number of infected people have been rising in recent days. On Saturday, according to the worldometers server, 7,490 infected people were detected in a country with about 67 million inhabitants.
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An analysis by the Sunday Telegraph shows that at the current rate of infection, the daily increase in the number of newly infected infections could be 80,000 by mid-July. If this happened, the current maximum would fall from January, when almost 70,000 newly infected people were recorded in one day.
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In the United Kingdom, a total of 41 317 cases of the Indian variant are confirmed during the weekly monitoring period, of which 39 061 in England, 2035 in Scotland, 184 in Wales and 43 in Northern Ireland. Of the infected, 42 Britons have died from the Indian variant so far. The PHE report confirmed that 12 of the 42 deaths were fully vaccinated. The remaining 23 were not vaccinated and seven received the first dose more than 21 days ago.
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Recent data from Public Health England indicate that the efficacy of vaccines against the Indian variant is 33 percent after the first dose. After two doses of vaccination, the effectiveness of the vaccine in the case of the Indian mutation increases to 81 percent. This is less than for the British mutation, where the efficacy after the first dose is 51 percent and 88.4 percent after the second dose.
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Efficacy of AstraZeneca
In its latest report, Public Health England acknowledges that there is “uncertainty about the extent of the effectiveness of AstraZeneca after two doses”. At the same time, this vaccine is the most vaccinated in the United Kingdom. They make up about 70 percent of all vaccines vaccinated in the UK. The Authority emphasized that evidence of the efficacy of the two-dose Indian mutation vaccine was still pending.
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The University of Warwick has tried to model a situation in which a mutation that is 50 percent more contagious than previous viruses would spread in the UK, which is considered to be an Indian mutation. According to their model, the number of hospitalizations could increase to 5,000 by the end of July.
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Foreign Minister Dominic Raab suggests that June 21 would not be too loose. According to him, the government wants to be careful and does not want to risk the “yo-yo” effect. “We’re running a race against time to inoculate everyone with a second dose as soon as possible,” he told Sky News.
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Professor Andrew Hayward recalled that experts still do not know “exactly how bad it will be.” Referring to the Indian variant, he said: “I think a mutation 60 percent more infectious is extremely worrying, that’s the thing that will control the rate of disintegration.”
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Their words, as well as the PHE report, met with a furious reaction from the economic sphere and conservative politicians. The hospitality industry said that the four-week delay could mean the elimination of up to 200,000 jobs and a loss of revenue of three billion pounds.
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Delays in dismantling would also have an impact on the theater area, which is currently limited to 50 percent capacity. Legend Andrew Lloyd Webber said that if the dismantling was postponed, it would be “devastating” for the industry. He called on the government to support theaters as a compromise by allowing their capacity to be increased to 75 percent.
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“Given that only 54.2 percent of the adult population is currently fully vaccinated and many young people are not yet eligible, there is a huge risk that premature relaxation of all restrictions will cancel out the excellent work of the vaccination program and lead to an increase in infections,” Chaand warned. Nagpaul, President of the British Medical Association.
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