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One in three Latinos in the United States supports Donald Trump

Won’t get 40% of the vote Latin, how did he get George W. Bush in 2004, but if the president is considered Donald Trump, far from being a popular former governor of a state with a strong presence Hispanic how Texas has been the least related to first ethnic minority of U.S, it seems more than good to have the 30% percent approval, according to a survey of Pew Research Center, and a probability of voting for your re-election in November of a Latino every four, according to another, of Telemundo.

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“As a candidate, Trump declared that Mexico envía does not send the best it has ’ but it relieves those who ‘bring drugs, bring crimes’; tagged the Mexican immigrants as criminals and rapists, promised to deport the ‘Bad men’ and promised a ‘force for deportations’, ”he listed Ruben Navarrette Jr in a column for USA Today. And as president, he added, he ended the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA), which left without legal immigration status to 700,000 Latino youth, promoted migration policies that halved residence visas Y separated thousands of families who sought refuge from violence and poverty, “to the point that almost 70,000 immigrant children were arrested sometime last year. ”

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Although he has talked about the “invasion” that the United States is suffering from the south, surveys indicate that Trump could get between 25% and 30% of the vote of the minority that, in addition to being the first in population, for the first time will be also in number of voters: according to Pew, some 32 million Latinos will be able to vote this year, which exceeds 30 million African Americans and represents 13.3% of the electorate. The attractiveness of the Republican is consistent with 28% of the Hispanic votes he obtained in 2016, according to figures from Real Clear Politics.

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“In general, registered Latino voters have negative views of President Donald Trump and the direction the country is going, with strongly divided views following party preference,” Pew’s analysis said. “Some two thirds of registered Latino voters (68%) disapproved of the work Trump as president, including 51% who disapproved a lot. ” The rest of the figures are striking: “30% of Hispanic voters who approve Trump include a 23% who approve it a lot

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As the former spokesman of the Hispanic Caucus of Congress (CHC, a legislative body on issues that affect this community), although the percentage of support may not seem high, “you have to consider what that figure means for Democrats: disagreement with the president in the last three years has not led to an increase in support for the opposition partyKristian Ramos underlined in a column to The Atlantic: “When Democrats turn to Latino voters they focus too much on immigration and they say very little about other issues that these voters prioritize. If you want to earn enough Latino votes to recover the White House, the Democrats must continue fighting for the immigrant community but they also have to offer a positive narrative, with aspirations, that includes Latinos as a vibrant sector of the country. ”

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Different factors give importance to the Latino vote: it is a young population, they have interference in decisive states such as Florida, Nevada and Colorado and almost two thirds – in general, of Mexican origin – tend to vote for one party or another. However, none of these elements, nor others, gives them unity. The Cubans in Miami do not share their interests or their visions with Puerto Ricans in New York, for example.

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In addition, Navarrette said, “in many cases these people are not really Latino: they are post-latinos” He explained: “They consider themselves Americans. They are ambivalent about their ancestry, their relatives, their ancestors. They are not offended when Trump insults Mexican immigrants because – even in the case of Mexican-Americans – they believe that the people he talks about are another species

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In your article for USA Today cited Chris Salcedo, a radio presenter of Texas: “Liberals have always bothered me a lot, in the press and outside of it, who say that I, by my Latin last name, have something in common with someone who sneaks into my country without our permission,” Salcedo said. “When the president takes action against illegal border crossings and human trafficking, I don’t think he is attacking me, because I also want those same things to end

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Ramos stressed something similar: “Ideological differences are more marked between generations. As a third-generation Mexican-American I am right on the cusp of an intergenerational fracture. Although I strongly identify with both my immigrant and American legacy, I am more American than Mexican. The identity is complicated, however. I have childhood friends who are Mexican-American, whose families have lived in the United States for generations, who no longer identify with their Mexican heritage. ”

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Mentioned another study of the Pew Research Center, of 2017, which found that more than 10% of Hispanic Americans were not identified as Hispanic at that time. “How much they are closer to their immigrant roots, more likely, Americans with Hispanic ancestors identify themselves as such. ” That has been combined with a very high historical rate of mixed marriages and a descending amount of Latin American immigration in the last decade.

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As a result, first and second generation Latinos have strong ties to their immigrant heritage, but in the third generation 23% no longer looks like Latino and from the fourth generation onwards, only half It is identified with its roots. “These voters no longer associate their cultural identity with being immigrants, and the issue of immigration is less important to them,” Ramos said. “The insults of the White House to immigrants do not change those who support Trump.”

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While all opposition candidates are emphasizing issues such as the economy, health and education, the issues that most concern Latinos According to the former CHC spokesperson, “Democrats don’t do enough to speak directly to Latino voters about these issues.” Steve Cortes, a CNN columnist, added in RealClearPolitics: “While the Democratic Party leaning to the left on social issues, the Hispanic community, widely catholic and evangelical, feels remote ”.

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In that situation, despite the high disapproval of the Trump administration that Hispanics do, 30% approval can play a key role in the November presidential. The Democrats lost the election in 2016 even though they obtained 66% of the votes. According to estimates cited by Ramos, now they would need 70% of the Latino vote to return to the White House. However, only 65% ​​expressed a positive outlook on the candidates.

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“The treatment that the president gives to immigrants at the border is inhuman and enormously unpopular among Latinos. And yet, his support in this block of voters does not dent ”, he concluded The Atlantic. “In fact, it has more support in this sector of the electorate than Mitt Romney in 2012 and about the same as John McCain in 2008″.

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