New York (awp/afp) – Oil ended at its highest level of the year in New York on Wednesday, fears of a tightening in the supply of black gold at the global level and the slowdown in inflation outweighing a slight increase in crude inventories in the United States.
The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) listed in New York, for delivery in May, gained 2.1% to end at 83.26 dollars.
In London, a barrel of Brent from the North Sea for June delivery rose 2.01% to close at 87.33 dollars.
“The market ignored the weekly report on oil stocks in the United States because it was mixed,” said Andy Lipow of Lipow Oil Associates.
Admittedly, it showed a small, unexpected increase in crude reserves in the country due to a drop in exports, a slight increase in production, a small decline in refinery activity and the sale 1.6 million barrels of strategic reserves.
But the report also highlighted a decline in demand, he said.
Market players are instead focusing on the global supply of crude, he says, continuing to digest in particular the announcement by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies of further cuts in their production.
At the same time, “various sources show that Russian exports have fallen significantly” while “exports from northern Iraq to Turkey remain blocked in a legal battle”, remarks Andy Lipow.
US inflation figures also play a role, according to StoneX’s Fawad Razaqzada.
Inflation in the United States has indeed slowed to 5% over one year in March, thus registering at its lowest level for almost two years.
This Wednesday announcement leads some investors to believe that the US central bank “is at the end of its rate hike cycle”, says Fawad Razaqzada.
“The decline in interest rate expectations reduces fears of recession and at the same time helps to support the prices of assets denominated in dollars”, such as oil, estimates the specialist. It also wards off fears of a recession, which could weigh on energy demand.
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