The Labor Party gets its best result so far this year in Nettavisen’s January poll, which was carried out by InFact.
The party gets a support of 20.5 percent, and it is a solid jump from the average in the national polls in December, which was at 17.8 percent. It is also 2.9 percentage points up from Nettavisen’s December survey.
– This may indicate that the Labor Party has, at least this time around, managed to stabilize the fall. The party is no longer in free fall, says specialist manager Knut Weberg at InFact to Nettavisen.
As recently as December, the Labor Party received a record low 14.6 percent in Our country’s measurement.
See the results for all parties:
Nettavisen has now switched polling agency from Sentio to InFact. InFact performs the measurements with automated telephone interviews. A total of 1,044 people were asked what they would vote for if there were a general election tomorrow.
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Under the 30s
At the same time, Høyre falls below the 30s, after several cheer polls in recent months. The party gets a support of 29.1 percent, which is the worst result so far this year in the national polls, according to the website Pollofpolls.
In Nettavisen’s December survey, which was carried out by Sentio, the Conservative Party received 32.8 percent.
– It looks as if the Conservative Party is stabilizing around the 30s. So these extremes we saw seem to have calmed down, notes Weberg.
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The 30s is still far higher than the Conservative Party’s parliamentary election result of 20.4 per cent.
So even if the Conservative Party is below 30 per cent, there is still a middle-class majority in the survey. The former government partners Høyre, Frp, Venstre and KrF would have received a total of 88 mandates in the Storting (85 is a majority). While the Labor Party, the Center Party and SV would have received 66 mandates.
The results in December and January. The December survey was conducted by Sentio, the January survey by InFact:
– This is a very good poll for the Conservative Party, in addition to the fact that it is once again a bourgeois majority, says Conservative Deputy Leader Henrik Asheim to Nettavisen.
With support from Red and the Green Party (MDG), however, the red-green parties are close to a majority (81).
See the mandates for all the parties:
– Not pleasant reading
Ap’s party secretary, Kjersti Stenseng, is happy that it is now seeing the 20s again.
– I think there are several arrows pointing in the right direction now. The policy and safe governance this government is leading is starting to work, which we see in the large and important figures around price growth, interest rates and core inflation, which have started to level off, says Stenseng to Nettavisen.
She points out that the Labor Party has also seen membership growth, and that they are now gearing up for this year’s election campaign.
– And the trend in the opinion polls is good, which is confirmed by the first poll of over 20 per cent in a while. We are a long way from where we are going and have ambitions to be, but we are looking forward to a solid upswing and that we are on the right track, says Stenseng.
The measurement was taken on 11 January, and the margin of error is between 1.1 and 2.8 per cent.
But progress notwithstanding, the Labor Party’s 20.5 percent is little to cheer about historically.
– It cannot be pleasant reading, neither for the Labor Party nor the Center Party, even if it has been even worse than it is now. So there is no reason to sit back and relax, says the specialist manager at InFact.
Compared to the general election three years ago, the party has lost 173,497 voters. The party then received 26.3 percent of the vote.
– A good measurement
Asheim in the Conservative Party points out that this year’s local elections have a more troubled backdrop than in a long time, with rising prices, increased interest rates and war in Europe.
– We will use the time ahead to continue traveling around to listen to what challenges people and companies are experiencing and how we can create security and find good solutions to these. We have been concerned with being constructive in opposition and promoting concrete political solutions to the challenges people experience, he says, and adds:
– Now that many families are experiencing tighter finances, we proposed, among other things, to increase child benefit by NOK 3,000 per child and give those with low and moderate incomes lower taxes. It would mean a lot to many.
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– Lower than the target
The Center Party gets 6.0 percent in the survey, which is roughly the same level as the party had in Nettavisen’s December survey. The party’s average for all national surveys in December was 5.4 per cent.
Support has thus more than halved since the general election, when SP got 13.5 per cent – and as many as 223,261 voters have left the party.
– It is a lower level than we aim to be at. We understand that many people feel uncertainty both for their wallets and the future, says the Center Party’s parliamentary deputy leader, Geir Pollestad, to Nettavisen.
– Going forward, we will stick to an economic policy to gain control over price growth and interest rates. We must have tight spending at the same time as we must build up preparedness and defense capability. We believe that the voters will eventually find their way back to the Center Party, he says.
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FRP in the 13th century
In the survey, the Progress Party also gets an upswing, with a result of 13.1 per cent. This is higher than the December average of 12.0 per cent. It is also up 2.9 percentage points from Nettavisen’s previous survey, which was carried out by another agency.
– It is nice to see clear progress from the previous poll in Nettavisen, says Frp leader Sylvi Listhaug to Nettavisen, and points out:
– I think many people share the FRP’s concern for the Norwegian economy going forward, if the government does not come up with a solution to electricity prices that people and businesses can live with. More and more people are struggling to make ends meet, at the same time as the state treasury has record high revenues from the sale of gas, oil and electricity.
Listhaug says the FRP’s recipe is to give back some of the extra income by introducing a maximum price where the state covers everything over 50 øre, halving food VAT and removing all fuel taxes.
In December FRP fell the most of all the parties in Nettavisen’s measurement.
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Lysbakken: – Nice
The government’s support party SV gets 7.8 percent. It is back from the party’s average in the polls in December, of 9.3 percent, the same result that the party got in Nettavisen’s December poll.
– It is very nice that SV stays at a high level in the measurements, and with this measurement we have an average of the measurement in January of 8.6 per cent, which is well above the election result, says SV leader Audun Lysbakken to Nettavisen.
In the general election, SV received 7.6 percent of the vote.
– It shows that the voters, who are concerned with better distribution and the environment, are satisfied with the work we do in taking politics in the right direction. It is inspiring in the times we live in, where high food and electricity prices and unrest characterize politics, says Lysbakken.
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Left and MDG below
The Liberals get 3.9 per cent, which is back from December when they got 4.6 per cent – and the average was 4.7.
KrF goes up to 4.2 per cent, which is up from a result of 2.8 per cent in the December survey.
Red gets 6.8 per cent, which is slightly back from December (7.5 per cent), while the Green Party (MDG) also ends up below the threshold with 3.4 per cent – and falls from 4.1 per cent last month.
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Check out Nettavisen’s latest polls:
December: Peel for Listhaug: – Is permanently in the shade
November: New brutal measurement: Ap has never been measured lower
October: Measurement was recorded when they celebrated: The result is crushing
September: Shock measurement: The Progress Party three times as large as the Center Party
August: Worst Labor survey in 20 years: – The decline continues
Get 2.0 percent
The group “other parties”, the parties that are not represented in the Storting, get a total of 5.3 per cent.
The largest of the smallest parties is the Industrial and Business Party (INP) with 2.0 per cent. The second largest is the Democrats with 1.1 percent.
Next come the People’s Party, the Liberals and the Christian Party, all with 0.4 percent. The Health Party and the Pensioners’ Party get 0.2 per cent, and the Center Party 0.1 per cent.
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The right steals the most
The background figures for the survey show that the Conservative Party steals the most net voters from the Labor Party, a total of 59,191 voters compared to the parliamentary election result. But also Rødt (18,752) and Frp (15,568) take a number of voters.
The Conservatives steal voters from almost all the other parties, with the exception of Red and Other parties, to which they lose 6,269 and 12,461 voters respectively.
The Center Party is also losing voters to most of the parties, with the exception of MDG. The Conservative Party also takes the most voters here, a total of 46,484 net voters, while the FRP secures 30,970 and Redt 18,594 voters.
