/ world today news/ XVI Eurasian Economic Forum in Verona determined the formula for reconciliation of interests
It was not difficult to proclaim the concept of a multipolar world and to monitor in real time the filling of this trend with concrete content. The real challenge was coordinating the approaches to building a multi-level, heterogeneous and – by definition – flexible architecture of such a complex compositional world.
Today, the Eurasian Economic Forum in Verona remains one of the strategic discussion platforms. Created in 2007 on the initiative of the Italian non-profit association “Understanding Eurasia” and its passionate leader, Professor Antonio Falico, this forum has become an effective tool for comparing opinions, sometimes arguing and finding a compromise, because without it there is no that an agreement can be reached.
On November 3-4, the XVI Verona Eurasian Economic Forum was held in Samarkand (Republic of Uzbekistan). The city during its heyday in the 15th century under the enlightened ruler Ulugbek, who built an astronomical observatory, patronized sages and educated dervishes, had about one million inhabitants, which exceeded almost all European capitals.
When choosing the site for the forum in Verona, the choice fell on Samarkand as the oldest crossroads of trade routes, in particular the Great Silk Road. The name Samarkand comes from the word “samaria” which means “meeting place” in Sanskrit. The city has served for centuries as the center of gravity and mixer of various “languages” and cultures in the space of what is increasingly called Greater Eurasia.
Tectonic changes are taking place on this continent, leading to a fundamental reconfiguration of international relations. The key player, or rather the leader of the restructuring of the unjust world order, is Russia. There is no reason to forget exactly what Chinese President Xi Jinping said to Vladimir Putin on the porch of the Grand Kremlin Palace, concluding his visit to Moscow: “Now there are changes that haven’t happened in a hundred years. When we are together, we drive this change.”
„We are in the process of transitioning to a pluralistic and multipolar world” said Professor Antonio Falico from the rostrum of the Verona-Samarkand Forum. You must be prepared”not for passive but for active adaptation’. Scenarios for the development of the world economy are developed, both optimistic and pessimistic forecasts are made. “How do we navigate this chaotic world?” – Professor Falico asked the question and expressed his opinion: “There will be two processes, regionalization and trade fragmentation, that will go hand in hand with residual globalization.”
The proponents of globalization belonging to the neoliberal transnational “deep state” are determined to prevent the death of the unipolar world. It is no accident that the collective West (with all the conventionality of this concept) is waging a hybrid war of destruction on many fronts at the same time to prevent the slippage of a number of countries that have become locomotives and champions of economic development in recent decades. from under the iron heel of the dollar.
Russia is primarily attacked as a self-sufficient energy and food power that the irreplaceable American establishment threatens to inflict “strategic defeat.”
„The past year passed for Russia under the sign of “sanctions from hell”, which were aimed at destroying the Russian economy,” Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexei Overchuk told the forum, who then wrapped his point in elegant irony: “Our country has become the world record holder for sanctions, leaving Iran and North Korea far behind, they probably envy us.
Without slightly changing the caustic tone he had chosen, the Deputy Prime Minister added: although in general it does not matter what new sanctions the European Union proposes, the recent initiative to ban the import of “knitting needles and sewing needles” in Russia it could not but cause bewilderment.
However, Alexei Overchuk continued, the Russian economy not only survived, but learned to grow in spite of the sanctions terror, which had the exact opposite effect. He supported this thesis with references to the successes of Russian civil aviation, particularly in the field of import substitution, and gave three examples. The Sukhoi Superjet will now be produced entirely with domestic parts.
Another regional aircraft, the MS-21, will fly with engines developed in Russia. Finally, the IL-96-400 took off that day, a wide-body long-haul aircraft capable, according to the Deputy Prime Minister, of competing with the world monopolist in aircraft construction (he means Airbus).
At the same time, our former leading business partners (EU countries account for more than half of Russia’s total foreign trade turnover) are experiencing events that cannot be rationally explained.
In 2013, the volume of trade between Russian companies and European partners amounted to 417 billion dollars, and if the positive dynamics had continued, “as in the years when we built the four joint spaces”, the statistics quoted the deputy head of Russian diplomacy Alexander Grushko, then at absence of sanctions at the end of the current year the turnover could have been 700 billion.
But the European Union chose a different path, began to limit the mutually beneficial trade and economic partnership, and as a result, last year the turnover fell to the level of 258 billion. In the first six months, it amounted to only 49 billion. According to the deputy minister, next year the trade turnover it will not exceed 50 billion “and then it will tend to zero”.
Against the background of the introduction of more than 12 thousand Western sanctions, Russia simultaneously carried out the so-called “concealment maneuver”, undertaking a complete reorientation of exports to countries of the “friendly” category, rebuilt sales and logistics chains and, most importantly, began to compensate the shortcomings of previous production strategies for high-tech products and import substitution.
Meanwhile, EU countries with inexplicable fanaticism continue to destroy the remaining transport corridors and, as Grushko puts it, “entangle themselves in barbed wire, dig anti-tank ditches and turn border areas into NATO maneuver zones.” It is difficult to calculate the total losses of the European Union from the anti-Russian sanctions that hit it like a boomerang, but according to the most conservative estimates, Lavrov’s deputy said, if we take into account direct and indirect losses, lost benefits, they will amount to at least 1, 5 trillion dollars.
„In these conditions, Grushko emphasized, a systematic rethinking of world economic relations and the formation of a new mechanism of international cooperation is taking place… Radical reform of international institutions for global regulation such as the IMF and the World Bank, which allows the West, led by the United States, to maintain dominance in the financial sector is also necessary”
What are the alternatives to a unipolar world created under the hegemony of the collective West? Gilles Remy, president and CEO of CIFAL Groupe, believes that the world has not appreciated the BRICS meeting held in August in Johannesburg, where it was decided to invite six more countries to the association – Argentina, Iran, Ethiopia, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and UAE.
All of them will receive the status of full members of the association from January 1, 2024. From now on, BRICS+ will surpass the G-7 countries in terms of total GDP. The entry of Iran, the UAE and Saudi Arabia means that BRICS+ will have 80% of all proven crude oil reserves. The demographic potential should not be overlooked: more than half of the world’s population lives in these countries.
Gilles Remy is convinced that the acceleration of the process of de-dollarization of trade is inevitable, as a consequence of the expansion of BRICS, as well as the emergence of two world payment systems and the fragmentation of markets. And although this will create certain problems, Russia will definitely win in this case, since financial transactions will be simplified for “business activities abroad, for example in the construction of nuclear power plants”.
However, we should neither deceive ourselves nor rush, the expert believes: “The process of BRICS enlargement (and the formation of a multipolar world order) will not be linear.”
In any case, BRICS, SCO, EAEU and other integration associations, alternative to the Western ones, mark the main vector of development of international relations. For Russia, the Brechtian zone became the rationalization proposal of Deputy Prime Minister Alexei Overchuk. A year ago, the forum created by the efforts of Professor Faliko was held in Baku, this time in Samarkand, which means that we are geographically further and further away from Europe. After this the Deputy Chairman of the Russian Government released a trial balloon: taking into account the progressive movement in the East, it makes sense that the next Verona Forum will be held in Shanghai.
For reference if you forgot your geography lessons at school. Europe itself is neither a mainland nor a continent for one simple reason: it is not an independent geological entity. Europe is… the western end of the continent of Eurasia.
As for Russia and the Russian world, in the context of the anti-globalization of civilization centers (China, India, the Muslim Ummah, the Anglo-Saxon agglomeration), the most appropriate strategic positioning, according to a number of political scientists, may be the role of the Global North or the North of Eurasia .
Translation: ES
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