North Korean leader Kim Jong-un toured an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) launcher production plant and showed off his strategic missile capabilities. The Korean Central News Agency reported on the 5th that Chairman Kim gave local guidance to an ‘important military bogie production plant’. /yunhap news
North Korean Chairman Kim Jong-un’s frequent references to ‘war’, which have continued since early last year, may not be bluffs, and American experts have warned that the current situation on the Korean Peninsula is as dangerous as just before the Korean War in 1950.
Researcher Robert Carlin and Professor Siegfried Hacker of the Middlebury Institute for International Studies in the U.S. wrote in an article for 38 North, a media outlet specializing in North Korea, on the 11th (local time), “The situation on the Korean Peninsula has been at that level since early June 1950 (just before the Korean War). “It is more dangerous than ever,” he said. “It may sound too dramatic, but we believe that Kim Jong-un made a strategic decision to go to war like his grandfather (Kim Il-sung) did in 1950.”
They do not know when and how Kim Jong-un plans to pull the trigger, but the current danger has exceeded the level of ‘provocation’ routinely warned by South Korea, the United States, and Japan, and the ‘preparation for war’ message that has appeared in North Korean state media since early last year is North Korea’s usual warning. He argued that it may not be a ‘bluster’.
They cited the breakdown of negotiations at the 2019 North Korea-US summit in Hanoi and strengthening cooperation between North Korea, China and Russia as reasons for the growing war crisis on the Korean Peninsula. In particular, it was believed that Kim Jong-un, who was greatly disappointed with the results of the North Korea-US meeting, may have completely given up on normalizing relations with the United States, which had been the goal of the North Korean regime throughout the three generations of hereditary succession.
He went on to say that despite this situation, South Korea and the United States are sticking to the idea that Kim Jong-un can commit small-scale provocations but maintain the status quo due to the strong deterrence of the ROK-US alliance, but warned that clinging to such beliefs could be fatal in the current situation.
They said, “North Korea may plan to move in a way that is completely beyond our calculations,” and that North Korea may launch a military provocation using nuclear weapons.
“It may seem crazy to suggest the possibility of war, but there have been times in history when those who convinced themselves that there were no good options left decided that even the most dangerous game was worth playing,” he said.
2024-01-13 00:34:00
#U.S #expert #North #Koreas #war #references #bluff #dangerous #June
