Former US President Donald Trump. Reuters = Yonhap News
US Vice President Kamala Harris. AFP = Yonhap News.
[파이낸셜뉴스]A U.S. diplomacy expert has called North Korea, Russia, China, and Iran the ‘Chaotic Four‘ and said that how to respond to strengthened cooperation between them is a task that the next U.S. administration should not postpone.
According to Yonhap News on the 19th, James Lindsey, Director of Fellowships at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), posted on CFR on the 18th, ‘2024 Presidential Election: Is the United States ready to confront the Axis of Autocracies?’ This was stated in an article titled:
No matter who wins the presidential election, a strategy must be devised against the ‘Chaotic Four’.
“The news that Chinese companies are helping Russia produce long-range unmanned aerial vehicles (drones) to be used against Ukraine, and that North Korea is sending thousands of troops to fight in Ukraine, is one of the most disturbing trends in world politics: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea,” Lindsey said. “This clearly shows the increase in cooperation between the two countries,” he said.
At the same time, U.S. presidential candidates Vice President Kamala Harris of the Democratic Party and former President Donald Trump of the Republican Party did not say much about the emerging axis of authoritarian states, but “whoever wins next month needs to devise a strategy for that.” claimed.
Lindsey said the war in Ukraine was an ‘axis of upheaval’, an ‘axis of anger’, an ‘axis of disorder’ and a ‘quartet of chaos’. “This can be seen as the reason why this axis was formed,” he explained.
He said that cooperation between these four countries, which has been established in the past, including China and Russia’s support for North Korea’s survival and cooperation between Russia and Iran, has been strengthened since the Ukraine War. In June, Russian President Vladimir Putin visited North Korea for the first time in 24 years and met with Chairman Kim Jong-un. Examples include the signing of a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement with .
The axis of authoritarian states poses a grave threat to U.S. interests.
However, Lindsey’s analysis is that the axis of a dictatorship is a ‘marriage of convenience’, and it is far from sufficient to become an alliance like the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), a security alliance in North America and Europe.
The reason is that China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea do not have a common collective defense principle among member states like NATO, but mostly remain in bilateral exchange and cooperation within the framework of these four countries, including North Korea-Russia, North Korea-China, and Russia-Iran. The point was pointed out.
Lindsey said, “China is a Marxist-Leninist state, Russia is an individualistic dictatorship that advocates orthodox Christianity, Iran is a belligerent Shiite theocracy, and North Korea is run like a mafia state.” “It is not a group that shares a vision for,” he pointed out.
Because these four countries have different interests, their ability to cohere is low, which could eventually lead to discord.
For example, Lindsey explains that China and Russia are competing for influence in Central Asia, and Russia’s closer contact with North Korea is putting China in trouble.
“But setting U.S. policy with the expectation that our enemies will stumble is a bad choice,” Lindsay said. “It poses a threat,” he said.
“Cooperation between these countries makes it more difficult to achieve U.S. foreign policy goals, as seen in Ukraine,” he said.
“These countries can and do foment crises in Gaza, Yemen, Africa, the Korean Peninsula, and other regions at relatively little cost,” he said, adding, “This could strain and even destroy U.S. capabilities.” did it
Lindsey therefore emphasized, “Devising an effective response plan that can be implemented at an acceptable cost is a task that the next U.S. administration should not postpone.”
jashin@fnnews.com Reporter Shin Jin-ah
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