/ world today news/ The election results created a situation similar to that of the novel “Murder on the Orient Express”. All political forces have a motive and a way to participate in the assassination of PP-DB. The latter have staked their political future on only one card – the mayoral post in Sofia and are in an extremely vulnerable position. If Vasil Terziev loses in the runoff, it will mean the onset of a final political catastrophe for the PP-DB project. And their remaining in power from now on will only deepen their electoral decline.
What they can count on from the PP-DB is the egocentrism of Cornelia Ninova. The BSP leader does not even try to hide her intolerance towards Vanya Grigorova. In an interview on National Television during the election campaign, she described her own candidate as an outsider, distanced herself from her when it became clear that she was going to a second round, and made a statement that should maximally cut Grigorova’s chances of getting the support of the voters of GERB.
But everything is in order.
First, with the exception of Sofia, PP-DB failed to collect any visible results in the first round of local elections. All the talk that the abolition of machine voting has caused a civic wave in their favor is pure manipulation. Even in Sofia, they got a worse result than in the previous parliamentary elections, and their vaunted candidate got fewer votes from their lists for municipal councilors. Support for them is melting away at the very source of their political existence. If they lose the mayor’s chair in Sofia, they will inevitably fall into weightlessness. A situation that objectively works in favor of GERB, “Vazrazhdane”, ITN and the BSP, but not Ninova.
GERB’s third position in Sofia is undoubtedly a heavy loss. It is as much a result of Hekimyan’s unconvincing candidacy as it is of the political attitude of the political force itself and its leader. Boyko Borisov’s voters may forgive him for the mistake with Hekimyan, but the position in which he has placed his party in the framework of the assembly is becoming increasingly intolerable for them. They can hardly bear that, from the position of the first political force, they are forced to play the role not just of a junior political partner, but of a political softener. Something unprecedented in world political history. And this electorate logically and intuitively feels that political recovery goes through the corpse of the PP-DB. This survival instinct is stronger than political positioning and the drive to preserve Euro-Atlantic governance. Hence the mass threats to vote for Grigorova.
But Borisov is clearly caught with an outside grip and cannot afford to maneuver. Obviously, there are personal risks for him if he breaks up the “assemblage”. Therefore, it is trying to shift the responsibility for this to its non-coalition partners. By constantly sabotaging, criticizing and distancing himself from them. Now, if it helps their failure in Sofia, it could prove fatal for the administration. Or at least shift the balances in it.
It is clear, however, that if it wishes to regain its positions in the big cities and especially in Sofia, GERB must impress upon the right-wing voters that the PP-DB are not able to play the role of a safe barrier against the “red” danger. Moreover, with their arrogant and sometimes inadequate behavior, PP-DB stimulate part of the right-wing voters to vote for representatives of the left. “Vazrazhdane” also has serious reasons to support Vanya Grigorova. Because this will be a symbolic defeat for Euro-Atlanticism in the center of Bulgaria and a resounding slap for the most Euro-Atlantic oriented political formation. Which will open up new opportunities for Kostadin Kostadinov’s party.
As for the talk that she has hit the ceiling of her electoral expansion, they are pretty baseless at the moment. Simply because the power of “Vazrazhdane” manifests itself in the background of the debate about the geopolitical orientation of our country, but this is exactly what makes it clueless when it comes to individual local problems. In order to overcome this deficit, it is necessary to gain experience in local government, and the party will only enter this political specificity.
ITN have clearly defined themselves, in words and actions, as antagonists of the PP-DB, and their announced intention to stand behind Vanya Grigorova is not a surprise. The question is what kind of votes they can actually provide for her.
Objectively speaking, BSP should be the most interested in inflicting a heavy political blow on PP-DB. A victory in the capital gives a new chance for centenary recreation. But success would also produce a new strong figure in left space. That is why Ninova is afraid of such a victory for her own party, in which she perceives a threat to her own political career. Therefore, she hastened even on the night of the election to cut off Grigorova’s potential to noticeably expand her peripheral support. Without anyone pulling her tongue, Ninova stated that BSP will necessarily play against GERB a priori. with which she tried to turn Borisov’s voters away from her own candidate.
Ninova understands that a victory achieved without her, even in spite of her, is a victory against her. That is why it is not interested in participating in the common front against the PP-DB, but is betting on the insidious clearing of internal party accounts. And her plan involves losing the second round, after which she will deal with the “culprits”. The typical behavior of marginalizing parties and leaders.
Buying and selling votes is a crime!
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