NFL Conference Championships Betting Guide: Props, Odds, Lines, and More
The NFL’s conference championships are just around the corner, and football fans and bettors alike are eagerly awaiting the action. With the betting market filled with player props, it can be overwhelming to navigate through all the options. That’s why we’re here to bring you the ultimate NFL betting playbook, highlighting some of the top prop bets for each of this weekend’s pivotal playoff games.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
The first matchup on Sunday features the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens are favored by 3.5 points, with a money line of -200, while the Chiefs sit at +170. The total for the game is set at 44.5 points.
One prop bet that stands out is Patrick Mahomes over 36.5 passing attempts (-110). Despite a disappointing loss last week, Mahomes has been averaging 36.7 passing attempts per game this season. In his four career games against the Ravens, Mahomes has averaged 40.1 attempts per game, making this prop bet an enticing option.
Another prop to consider is Roquan Smith over 2.5 assists (-135). Smith has been a key player for the Ravens’ defense this season, averaging 4.5 assists per game. With his high snap count and consistent performance, Smith is likely to reach three assists in this game.
For the Ravens, Justin Madubuike over 2.5 total tackles (-135) and over 0.5 assists (-230) is a prop worth considering. Madubuike has been a mainstay on the defensive line for Baltimore, averaging 3.3 total tackles and 1.1 assists per game. With his consistent production, Madubuike is likely to reach these numbers against the Chiefs.
On the other side of the ball, Justin Reid under 2.5 assists (-190) is a prop to keep an eye on. Despite playing on 97% of the Chiefs’ defensive snaps this season, Reid has only averaged 1.3 assists per game. With his low assist numbers, it’s unlikely that Reid will reach three assists in this game.
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers
The second matchup on Sunday features the Detroit Lions facing off against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. The 49ers are favored by 7 points, with a money line of -320, while the Lions sit at +260. The total for the game is set at 50.5 points.
One prop bet to consider is Brandon Aiyuk under 5.5 receptions (-165). Aiyuk has only averaged 4.6 receptions per game this season, making this line a fairly easy fade. Even with the potential absence of Deebo Samuel, Aiyuk’s catch totals have not been significantly impacted in games where Samuel was out or played limited snaps.
On the other hand, David Montgomery over 1.5 receptions (+122) is a prop worth considering. Montgomery has been involved in the passing game for the Lions, catching at least two receptions in seven of his 16 games this season. With an increased usage in the playoffs and the 49ers’ vulnerability to RB receptions, Montgomery is likely to reach this number.
For the Lions, Jameson Williams under 2.5 receptions (-120) is a prop to keep an eye on. Williams has only reached three catches twice in his 20 career games and has had exactly two receptions in his last three games. Despite an increase in snap share, Williams hasn’t been targeted much, making this prop bet favorable.
On the defensive side, Nick Bosa over 2.5 total tackles (-180) and over 0.5 assists (-210) is a prop with great value. Bosa has been a force for the 49ers’ defense, averaging 3.2 total tackles and 1.1 assists per game. With the Lions allowing 10.4 tackles per game to opposing edge rushers, Bosa is likely to surpass these numbers. Additionally, the “under” on sacks at plus money is enticing, as Bosa has fallen short of one full sack in 10 out of 17 games this season.
In conclusion, the NFL conference championships offer a plethora of prop betting options for fans and bettors alike. From Patrick Mahomes’ passing attempts to Nick Bosa’s total tackles, there are plenty of opportunities to make some profitable bets. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the thrilling action on the field.