New tropical cyclone over the Mexican Pacific

This weekend came the first “important” pulse of sahara dust that crossed the southeast and the Gulf Slope, decreasing rains with dominance of a hot environment and a hazy environment, although the sunrises became cooler-cold especially in high areas. Further, monsoon and humidity convergence they remained active with heavy rains / storms from Sonora to Jalisco, helping to reduce the drought with accumulated over 100 mm.

The rest of this week we will have a relatively similar picture, adding the formation of 2 tropical cyclones. This Wednesday morning Tropical Depression Six-E developed located more than 1000 km south-southwest of Baja California Sur which Has escalated to storm Felicia, while still moving away. Another cyclone could form distant to the southwest of Jalisco between Friday and Saturday, taking the name of Guillermo, without being a direct threat to the country, but it could provide humidity with indirect rains to the south, center and west of the country.

Precipitation forecast

The rains and storms will be concentrating from Wednesday to Friday on Sonora, Durango, Coahuila, Zacatecas, Nayarit, Jalisco, Aguascalientes, Colima, Guanajuato, Michoacán, Querétaro, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Morelos, Mexico City, Guerrero, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Oaxaca, Veracruz, Chiapas and sectors of the Yucatan peninsula, as well as the Sinaloa, Chihuahua, Nuevo León and San Luis Potosí mountains with daily accumulated 10-30 mm in general, highlighting points of 50-70 mm or higher in mountainous portions and surroundings. In neighboring states, although it will also rain, they would be more dispersed and less accumulated.

Rainfall may be accompanied by some hailstorms and wind gusts greater than 45 km / h. It is important to take preventive measures against occurrence of floods, flood / overflow of rivers, landslides, urban flooding and dangerous water currents. If you live in vulnerable areas, all the more so take extreme precautions and heed the indications of local authorities if necessary.

Weather trend for the second half of July

For now no cyclone is observed to approach the Mexican Republic, but tropical waves will continue to cross (although not very active) the south-central states along with troughs to the south of the Gulf of Mexico and the very active monsoon prevailing in the north-west of the country. This would result above normal rains mainly towards Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, sectors of Veracruz, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacán, being less humid in the center, south, southeast and northeast, where the rains would be more isolated and eventual

Temperatures would have little change, staying warm to hot environment in general, cooling at the time of storms. Likewise, the eventual incursion of dust from the Sahara, such as the one expected from Wednesday to Saturday will be the cause for the limitation of rains, helping that the nights-early mornings over high areas of the Sierra Madre Oriental and between Hidalgo, Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Mexico City, Morelos and the State of Mexico have a colder environment with isolated frosts.

Statistically, July and August are the months when rainfall decreases within the rainy season, period known as Canicula, but they are not the hottest 40 days and they do not have an exact start / end date either. From Meteored Mexico we will be constantly updating the state and weather forecast in a timely manner.

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