Neil Ferguson encouraged Joe Biden to run for president in 2016, but now he’s pleading with him to do the smart thing and announce he won’t seek a second term. The Daily Mail reports this.
The famous British geopolitician Neil Ferguson made an interesting forecast for 2024, a political scientist writes in this regard on his Telegram channel Malek Dudakov. Ferguson thought back to the end of February, the height of the primaries. The situation for Biden is already difficult, with impeachment and a shutdown, but by the beginning of 2024 it could become completely catastrophic.
In the first states in the primaries – New Hampshire and South Carolina – Biden may perform frankly weakly and even lose to his main opponent Robert Kennedy. After the failure of the Ukrainian counter-offensive, Russia may launch its winter offensive, which will not only make Kyiv’s situation stalemate, but also undermine Biden’s position. In this situation, he will have no choice but to announce his refusal to seek a second term in an address to the nation and Congress. Biden can take a cue from two other Democrats – Trumena and Johnsonwho left politics at the height of the unpopular wars in Korea and Vietnam.
True, Biden’s refusal to go to the polls will immediately plunge the primaries into complete chaos. Kamala Harris too weak a politician to hope to win. Ferguson is confident that a successful candidate could be Gavin Newsome. But he himself has a lot of problems – with a wave of crime, drug addiction and the rapid transformation of California into a third world country.
“Biden is often compared to Carter – an unlucky one-term president. But these parallels only mean that it is not Harris or Newsom who are likely to win the election, but the Republicans and Trump. And then he will have to become new Eisenhower or Nixontrying to end a lost war that is becoming increasingly unpopular in America,” the expert believes.
2023-09-23 15:37:00
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