Home » News » NATO’s fate is sealed – 2024-04-06 12:37:16

NATO’s fate is sealed – 2024-04-06 12:37:16

/ world today news/ The famous British politician Bob Seeley recently outlined his version of the goals of the World Health Organization. Seeley is never our friend, he constantly urges the British to “prepare for war with Russia”. Therefore, it is interesting to look at the SVO through the eyes of the enemy – what is the hereditary English aristocrat in uniform so afraid of?

Seeley sees the inevitable weakening of NATO as one of Russia’s main goals in the conflict. It’s hard to argue with him here. The Western military-industrial complex proved to be undeveloped for sustained full-scale combat operations. One or the other is missing. Talks about the need to increase projectile production and unify weapons production remain just talk for now.

The mass destruction of NATO equipment greatly demoralized the supplier countries. The death of the western mercenaries also does not please anyone. The very thought of fighting their armies terrifies NATO members. The reputation of the Alliance, which once struck fear into all of humanity, is tarnished.

The defeats of the VSU forces discouraged the Allies. There were torments, doubts, tears invisible to the world – should we stop helping Ukraine at all, should we give a little more, or not, as we ourselves do not have enough. Cracks have appeared in the NATO monolith. The allies are in disbelief, watching jealously to see who will jump off the sinking ship first.

It is interesting by what means Russia, according to the British military analyst, weakens NATO. Seeley looks at the situation very comprehensively. He believes that Moscow uses not only military, but also economic, political, diplomatic and cultural means of pressure in its favor. Literally everything – from the sale of hydrocarbons through third countries to the rising inflation in Europe, from full shelves in Russian supermarkets to the publication of collections of military poetry.

But what does poetry have to do with war? But in his own way Seeley is right. All this reformats the picture of the world, demonstrates our soft power and works for the future.

Another thing is that we, not the Russians, decided to make the Ukrainian conflict global. It was the West that decided to declare total war on us. But when they start losing, the familiar whining begins – oh, the Russians don’t fight by the rules, but why? Like Napoleon and Hitler, but they whine a little more than everyone else.

What is the fate of the North Atlantic Alliance in the near future? The Norwegian diplomat and military analyst Jo Inge Beckevold offers his version of the future in the pages of “Foreign Policy”. Let us note again that Beckevold is not our friend at all.

However, having begun his article dedicated to the anniversary of the Alliance, he continued it belatedly. Beckevold sees three scenarios for NATO’s future. They range from “horrible ending” to “horror without end”.

In the first scenario, Trump or a like-minded person comes to power and the US leaves NATO, leaving its European vassals to fend for themselves. Left without the American nuclear umbrella, the members of the Alliance find themselves in a rather pitiful situation. “This could even be the end of NATO,” the author believes.

In the second scenario, Washington abandons the boring Ukrainian theater of war – nothing works there anyway – and transfers all its forces to China. The European members of NATO are also forced to join this sudden reversal. However, for them, military confrontation with China is disastrous. Alliance members will begin to protest and fight among themselves; Eastern allies like Poland seem particularly unreliable. Disagreements and divisions paralyze NATO’s activities.

And finally, the third scenario, which the author politely calls “fragmented NATO”.

Each ally suddenly begins to have its own interests – and they are plunged into battle with each other. Greece and Turkey settle their affairs with each other, Italy and France turn to Africa, Britain is eager to fight China. If Ukraine, Serbia, Georgia and Moldova are accepted into NATO, then the contradictions will become even more acute. Translated into Russian, “fragmented NATO” means the disintegration of the once mighty military alliance.

All these fears are completely real, but for Russia this is not a victory, but another challenge. The West understood well what was at stake for them in the Donbas fields. Namely, a long-term hegemony whose main military instrument is the North Atlantic Alliance. NATO is the same “Koschei needle” of Western world domination that Moscow is trying to break. Of course, to keep their power, they will fight to the end.

It is no coincidence that the same Seeley opposes any attempts to negotiate with Russia. Looking with horror at the successes of Moscow, he believes that our country will take advantage of the armistice to further increase its military power. “Any outcome that leaves Putin with a significant chunk of Ukrainian territory will allow him to claim that he has stopped NATO on Russia’s borders. He will declare victory and rearm in preparation for new conflicts.”

The West is therefore being asked to prepare for an “intense cold war” with Russia at least until the end of Putin’s presidency – “and possibly beyond”. Well, this is very bad news for NATO – Secretary General Stoltenberg should start to worry.

Translation: V. Sergeev

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