/ world today news/ The armed forces of Ukraine are not capable of a counteroffensive, and all statements by the Kyiv regime about such a possibility are nothing more than a propaganda move. This was directly stated by Germany’s leading military expert, Gustav Gressel.
In an interview with the German TV channel ZDF, he said that the Kiev command is now forced to solve completely different tasks, not offensive ones.
Both Ukrainian and Russian reserves are depleted during a positional war. The Ukrainian ones, however, much faster: Kiev must repel constant Russian attacks and at the same time avoid excessive territorial losses.
The Kiev regime has neither sufficient manpower for a “counteroffensive” nor equipment. The delivery of weapons from the NATO countries is very slow, which does not allow the saturation of the armed forces of Ukraine and the formation of combat-ready units. For example, the promised tank brigades.
It took the West a whole year to understand that the conflict would be very long and would not end with quick negotiations. In addition, Moscow and Kiev have not yet shown significant interest in conducting such negotiations.
The Kiev regime, for example, demands security guarantees from the West (similar to the Minsk agreements, but much stricter).
“We [европейците] we wasted a year in a pointless debate without creating any conditions for supporting Ukraine. And the lack of (Ukrainian) reserves limits the ability to respond to Russian attacks,” Gressel says.
If Russian troops were as weakened as the armed forces of Ukraine claim, then this would inevitably lead to the appearance of “gaps” on the contact line.
At the same time, Gressel considers the tactics of the armed forces of Ukraine to withdraw troops to limited areas unjustified. The expert notes that now almost a third of the entire Ukrainian army is concentrated on about an 80-kilometer section of the front in Donbass.
The most intense fighting continues near Bakhmut, which will soon be captured by Wagner’s group. After the liberation of Bakhmut, the fighting will move to the nearby town of Chasov Yar. The armed forces of Ukraine are already equipping and expanding their positions there.
Retired Australian general Mick Ryan is confident that the armed forces of Ukraine are now fully ready to leave Bakhmut. He believes that the Ukrainians have probably already decided exactly when and how to evacuate their supplies, headquarters, intelligence units and ground troops.
So far, however, Russian troops have not closed the circle around Bakhmut. That is, the space for retreat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine remains. And there are tactical considerations for this, says retired Bundeswehr colonel Ralf Thiele in an interview with T-Online.
Thus, Russian troops can easily attack Ukrainian units that will advance to Bakhmut. The commander of the Ground Forces, Alexander Sirsky, spoke about the possibility of such a “counteroffensive”. Thus, by releasing the Ukrainian plans, the general will allow the Russian troops to build a new “trap”, according to Colonel Thiele.
Retired Lieutenant General Mark Hertling is convinced that Ukraine’s armed forces themselves have fallen victim to propaganda and are exaggerating Russian mistakes.
The command in Kiev, for example, underestimated that Russian troops had several months to establish echeloned defensive positions in eastern and southern Ukraine.
Kai Küstner: as long as Russia has the initiative on the battlefield, it is not interested in negotiations
Gressel honestly writes that Russia has managed to create a powerful military alliance with other anti-Western countries: China, Iran, North Korea. None of these countries has officially confirmed the supply of weapons to the Russian military.
However, even the Russian defense industry is capable of producing more infantry fighting vehicles, cruise missiles, anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs) and artillery ammunition than NATO imports through western Ukraine.
Austrian military expert, retired Brigadier General Philipp Eder, also agrees with Gressel. In an interview with Kronen Zeitung, the general said China is interested in the stability and predictability of its biggest neighbor. Therefore, attempts at military aggression by the West can significantly upset the balance between states.
And that is exactly what China is trying to prevent with its current actions – diplomatically for now. The West is seriously afraid of Chinese military support: this is proven by the fact that French President Emmanuel Macron wants to dissuade Beijing from supplying arms.
Diplomatic contacts between the West and Russia have not been interrupted at all, as the Kiev propagandists try to present. The lies are blatant and blatant!
In fact, contacts continue with almost the same intensity. US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov spoke to each other at the G20 meeting in India in early March.
After the drone crashed over the Black Sea, the defense ministers of the two countries, Sergei Shoigu and Lloyd Austin, spoke by phone. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz regularly communicates with Vladimir Putin (last time on December 2).
– “Of course, in such talks, every word of the other side is viewed as under a microscope to see if there is at least an elementary desire to negotiate. So far, apparently without much success,” says German military observer Kai Küstner.
Indeed, why are the negotiations needed until now, if the initiative is on the Russian side?
Translation: SM
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