By the end of 2021, coronavirus disease could claim the lives of another 15-20 thousand Ukrainians. The total number of deaths from COVID-19 can be up to one hundred thousand.
This forecast was shared by Igor Brovchenko, he is the head of the working group of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) of Ukraine on mathematical modeling of problems associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, in an interview DW. According to him, the real death rates from the disease are at least twice as high.
These figures are many times higher than the indicators of the past 2020. Then from the coronavirus in Ukraine, almost 20 thousand people died, according to official statistics.
Brovchenko noted that the mortality rate from COVID-19 in Ukraine has not been growing over the past few days, but it is impossible to say that it has begun to decline, the expert noted.
As of November 15, official data showed that 57 thousand Ukrainians had already died from coronavirus in 2021.
“By the end of the year (2021), the total number of victims since the beginning of the pandemic, according to official data, may reach 90-100 thousand deaths,” Brovchenko said, adding that this scenario is the most realistic.
At the same time, the peak period of death from coronavirus continues in our country. One of these days, according to the expert, a confident fall may begin.
Note that over the past day, November 18, 752 Ukrainians died from coronavirus, and 19,633 patients overcame the disease.
Earlier, the head of the Center for Health Economics of the Kiev School of Economics, Yuriy Ganichenko, noted: by the end of this year, the number of deaths from coronavirus in Ukraine may grow up to 92 thousand… He stated that the rates of illness and death in the third wave of COVID-19 are significantly higher than in the first two.
Note: the only protection against severe disease and death from coronavirus disease is vaccination. According to the Higher Institute of Health, unvaccinated people with COVID-19 seven times more often end up in hospitals for compared with those who received the vaccine less than six months before the illness.
As reported OBOZREVATEL, when infected with the Delta strain, a person is more likely to have a severe course of the disease than it was with previous versions of the coronavirus, said the chief sanitary doctor of Ukraine Igor Kuzin. According to him, in the aggregate, all the features of the Delta strain affect the overall mortality rate.
The materials on this site are for general informational use only and are not intended to provide diagnosis or self-treatment. MedOboz’s medical experts ensure that all content we post is published and meets the highest medical standards. Our goal is to inform patients of the highest quality about the symptoms, causes and methods of diagnosing diseases for their timely referral to an in-person consultation with a doctor.
—
