NASA predicted the course of the COVID epidemic in Ukraine

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NAS gave a forecast of the coronavirus epidemic in Ukraine

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The incidence of coronavirus in Ukraine is still at a moderate level, but the risks of an outbreak remain high.

The National Academy of Sciences predicted the development of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ukraine from July 28 to August 10. About it informs press service of the NAS on Wednesday, July 28.

Over the past two weeks, the incidence has been increasing in Ukraine. At the same time, the rate of spread of the infection is still moderate, but the risks of a significant acceleration in growth remain high due to the Delta strain of COVID-19.

“The situation in Europe remains tense. In almost all European countries, the incidence is either growing rapidly or is already at a high level. Over the past week, the proportion of Delta strain in sequenced samples from the European Union has continued to grow. In some of them, the proportion of this strain in the past week for the first time exceeded 50% – in France, Belgium, Italy, Greece, the Netherlands, Denmark, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Sweden, Slovenia, Austria, Iceland, “it was reported.

According to the NAS forecast, in the next two weeks the average number of new infections in Ukraine will increase from 581 per day to 638 during the week of July 28 – August 3 and 735 during the week of August 4-10.

At the same time, the average reproductive number R (the number of cases of infection by one person to others) in Ukraine is now 1.07 and has a neutral trend, in Kiev – 1.05.

Earlier, President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukraine is ready for a new wave of pandemic… In some aspects of the fight against coronavirus, Ukrainian medicine is better prepared than European countries, the president said.

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