Mexico City. The latent probability of an economic slowdown, together with the new threats that have emerged from the president-elect of the United States, Donald Trump, to impose tariffs on our country, will lead to economic activity growing only one percent in 2025, he stated. Monex.
Janneth Quiroz Zamora, director of economic studies at Monex, pointed out that if the next US president keeps his promise to impose tariffs of more than 20 percent on Mexican products, it would cause an increase in the prices of food or gasoline, which would that inflation could rise to 4.05 percent.
In a press conference, Quiroz Zamora specified that future investments that could reach Mexico are being reduced by Trump’s threats, and this will reduce the GDP growth rate in 2025, a year that also marks the first full year of the new administration that Claudia Sheinbaum heads our nation.
“The automotive, agri-food and manufacturing sectors, which are key to the Mexican economy, would be seriously affected. For example, products such as avocados and tomatoes, which depend largely on the US market, could suffer increases in costs and a possible reduction in the demand,” he explained.
The director of economic studies at Monex emphasized that the automotive industry, one of the pillars of the Mexican economy, would be one of the most affected, as it would have to face higher production costs and that would put at risk the competitiveness that has made it stand out. international level in recent years.
“Mexico could lose competitiveness, especially in the automotive and agricultural sector, by facing higher production costs… The country is in a vulnerable position due to its trade dependence on the US economy and Trump’s security and immigration policies that place it as the country most exposed to risk,” considered Quiroz Zamora.
The risks that weigh most for the Mexican economy are a rebound in inflation in the United States that causes the Fed to cut the interest rate more gradually, the eventual slowdown of activity in Mexico, the United States and China, and that global conflicts intensify.
He added that another risk is that the phenomenon of relocating companies to Mexico “fades” as a result of the uncertainty of Trump’s arrival to the presidency of the United States.
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#Mexico #grow #Trumps #arrival #worries #Monex
–
**How might the Trump administration’s policies on immigration and border security, particularly concerning the construction of a wall, impact Mexico’s economic growth and investment climate?**
## Mexico’s Economic Future: A Look at the Trump Factor
**Introduction:**
Hello and welcome to World Today News. Today we’re discussing the potential impact of Donald Trump’s presidency on the Mexican economy. Joining us are two leading experts:
* **Janneth Quiroz Zamora,** Director of Economic Studies at Monex.
* **[Guest 2 Name],** [Guest 2 Title and Affiliation].
Welcome both.
**Section 1: Potential Economic Slowdown**
* **Interviewer:** Janneth, Monex predicts economic growth of only 1% in 2025. This represents a significant slowdown compared to recent years. Can you elaborate on the factors contributing to this projection, focusing particularly on the influence of the incoming US administration?
* **Interviewer:** [Guest 2], do you agree with Monex’s assessment? What are your thoughts on the potential economic slowdown and the role of Trump’s policies?
**Section 2: Tariffs and Industry Impact**
* **Interviewer:** Janneth, you’ve mentioned the possibility of tariffs exceeding 20% on Mexican goods. Which industries would be most vulnerable to such measures, and what impact could that have on consumers in Mexico?
* **Interviewer:** [Guest 2], do you foresee a scenario where international companies reconsider their investment plans in Mexico due to potential tariffs?
**Section 3: Competitiveness and Global Tensions**
* **Interviewer:** Janneth, the article highlights concerns about Mexico’s competitiveness in sectors like automotive and agriculture. How might the potential for higher production costs affect Mexico’s position in the global market?
* **Interviewer:** [Guest 2], how do you see the broader global context, including potential conflicts and trade tensions, impacting Mexico’s economic prospects?
**Section 4: Navigating Uncertainty**
* **Interviewer:** Both of you have painted a picture of significant challenges for the Mexican economy. What steps can the Mexican government take to mitigate these risks and ensure stability in the face of global uncertainty?
* **Interviewer:** Looking ahead, what are your biggest concerns for Mexico’s economic future, and what are your hopes for the next few years?
**Conclusion:**
Thank you both for providing your valuable insights. This has been a fascinating and informative discussion. We hope it sheds light on the complex challenges and opportunities facing Mexico in the coming years. To our audience, thank you for tuning in. We encourage you to join the conversation online and share your thoughts on these critical issues.
