/ world today news/ What are the political attitudes in March 2023, ten days before the elections, according to the “Mediana” agency?
The research was conducted in the period – March 17 – 22, 2023 with 978 people (18+ years) through a direct standardized interview and is representative of the adult population of the country. The study is a research project of the MEDIANA agency and was realized with its own funds.
Basic extracts
(The study does not take into account overseas voting, which can have a significant impact)
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These data are not pre-election forecasts. They show pre-election attitudes at the moment – as of March 23, 2023 (a kind of snapshot of socio-political sentiments). These attitudes may be subject to change in the remaining 9 days until the election. Moreover, at the moment 10% of voters who say they may go to the polls have not firmly decided whether they will do so and for whom they will vote – this represents about 250,000 wavering potential voters who can drastically change the current picture.
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At the moment, one can expect another “election with the lowest voter turnout”. The data show that around 2.5 million voters can be expected at the polls.
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At the moment, GERB leads the coalition “We continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria” by about 2%. The “Continuing the Change – Democratic Bulgaria” coalition has so far failed to fully consolidate the former voters of the two main formations participating in it.
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“Vazrazhdane”, currently, is the third political force, and the data shows an increase in their potential. DPS are fourth, and the traditional influence here will be the voting abroad. BSP seems to have stopped the stormy outflow of sympathizers for now, but here the volume of wavering voters has increased significantly – something uncharacteristic for this party.
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Figures as of 23 March 2023 show that the next parliament is likely to be formed by seven parties/coalitions. “The Left” (4.3%) and “Bulgarian Rise” (4.5%) are currently above the barrier to enter the parliament. ITN also keeps chances (3.4%).
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The data, at the moment, do not give much hope for a quick way out of the political crisis. Regardless of which political formation will be first and which second (or third, fourth) they will have to solve a very complex riddle. The huge mass of voters (about 60%) would not want either a government led by GERB, nor a government led by PP-DB, … nor a coalition government between the two. (Potentially the first two political formations). At the same time, the vast majority of voters are disgusted by the incessant political battle and political instability and want a regular government.
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A paradoxical picture is emerging – We don’t want these, we don’t want those, we don’t want them together, but… a regular government must be formed! Probably the only way out of this situation is the formation, in some form, of a “caretaker” (temporary, expert, etc.) non-party government … or new elections.
See the entire study HERE:
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