On Friday morning, Median revealed its nationwide survey earlier than the EP elections, which reveals, amongst different issues, that
- the Fidesz-KDNP checklist has the very best help, half of the “positive” voters (50%) plan to vote right here,
- the second hottest is Magyar Péter Tisza’s social gathering, 27 p.c of the “commissioned” would vote for this,
- third is the DK-MSZP-Párbeszéd checklist, for which 9 p.c of “positive” voters would vote, writes the 24.hu.
In accordance with Median, the mobilization of the events appears to be profitable: greater than four-fifths of the voters of the most important individuals within the EP elections say that they are going to undoubtedly go to the polls on June 9. Though such statements shouldn’t be taken too significantly, it has been indicated {that a} excessive turnout will be anticipated.
The variety of mandates for the Fidesz-KDNP will be at the very least 11, however this quantity finally relies on whether or not the social gathering lists that strategy the 5 p.c threshold however don’t attain it, i.e. Mi Hazánk and the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt, lastly get into the European Parliament . If none of them, the variety of mandates for Fidesz is 13, if considered one of them is, then it may be 12.
In accordance with Median, the estimate is sophisticated by a comparatively great amount of uncertainty, for instance the truth that even amongst those that classify themselves as sure voters, 25 p.c have no idea or don’t need to say which social gathering checklist they are going to vote for. 52 p.c of the latter will be mentioned to be opposition, and solely 24 p.c pro-government.
Methodology
The nationwide survey represents the 18-year-old and older inhabitants, based mostly on a random pattern of 1,500 folks, performed by phone between Could 31 and June 5.
