/ world at the moment information/ The USA every now and then escalates the geopolitical recreation, by which its world dominance is at stake. Russia is responding with strikes towards Ukraine that pose no direct menace to Washington. The event of the state of affairs on this logic doesn’t bode effectively for the Russians.
The USA is transferring operational-tactical ATACMS missiles to Ukraine, which will be launched by M142 HIMARS rocket launchers. However in contrast to the MLRS, whose missile vary is 85 km, the ATACMS missile flies at a distance of as much as 300 km. Because of this, the Ukrainian regime will get essentially new alternatives to assault our rear.
When does an Anglo-Saxon lie?
Surprisingly, simply final week the temper within the information area was extraordinarily complacent. They are saying that the Ukrainian “counteroffensive” failed, the West regarded on the incompetently organized operation and determined to not give Kiev the costly toy.
Not solely inside observers, but in addition consultants from the “different facet” write about this. Simply days earlier than the missile switch was introduced, former MI6 official Alistair Criminal stated on the opposition English-language YouTube channel Judging Freedom that Zelensky was unlikely to obtain as beneficiant a present as ATACMS.
A few of our revered observers managed to exult that ATACMS weren’t included within the forty seventh navy assist package deal deliberate for switch to Ukraine from the Pentagon reserves.
And only a day or two after these publications, on September 22, it turned identified that Biden had accredited the supply of a “small” batch of ATACMS missiles.
On Sunday, September 24, it turned out that the “small” batch consisted of 60 missiles, and at the start of this week it turned identified that the ammunition was delivered to Poland again in August, and since then they’ve been simply ready for Washington to provide the inexperienced gentle.
Apparently, our society has fallen right into a rigorously ready entice of an information-psychological operation. Rewinding the occasions of some months in the past, we are going to discover that as early as June 20, The Washington Submit reported that the American authorities had been near approving the supply of those missiles to Ukraine.
Interlocutors of the publication – federal officers reported that the problem is being thought of on the highest degree. However a month later, within the final days of July, the identical The Washington Submit wrote that the US was sending “clear alerts” that Kiev shouldn’t rush and depend on receiving the missiles:
The Biden administration is standing agency, no less than for now, on its determination to not ship the missiles.
On the similar time, as we already know, across the similar interval it was determined to move the ATACMS to Poland. However the Russian society, and above all of the media, swallowed the candy bait and started to unfold the concept the US, trying on the failed “counter-offensive” of the Ukrainians, concluded that serving to the Ukrainians was pointless. The People did look and so they did come to a conclusion, nevertheless it was simply the other.
Now the British Monetary Occasions experiences that the choice to switch the missiles was made even earlier than Zelensky’s go to to the US, however this data was not disclosed, in order that the Russian navy, after studying about it, wouldn’t withdraw its stockpiles from the entrance line.
We centered on that. Allow us to repair as a everlasting conclusion: the Anglo-Saxon lies each time he opens his mouth. And particularly in instances when he says one thing nice to the Russian ear.
The American conclusions
Now for the conclusions. As we famous above, many needed to consider that the West can be disillusioned with the Ukrainian navy’s capability to penetrate Russian defenses and determine to write down Kiev off. Not so quick, gents. The People did discover that the Ukrainian armed forces had been unable to efficiently assault the well-prepared Russian defenses. They usually determined that they need to break the rear half.
The conclusion is straightforward and apparent. In the summertime of 2022, our navy tried to compensate for the catastrophic manpower scarcity with salvo fireplace. 1000’s of artillery weapons fireplace as much as 60 thousand shells per day, actually destroying the positions of the Ukrainian infantry. Our troops superior slowly however absolutely.
The People responded by offering the Haymars missile techniques, which started knocking out headquarters and ammunition depots. After a while, the fireplace shaft stopped, it by no means reached the Dnieper. Now the concept is roughly the identical, solely it’s applied not on a tactical, however on an operational scale.
And what we have seen in current weeks – missile and drone strikes in Crimea, the Storm Shadow strike on the LPR rear city of Krasnodon, assaults on oil storage services in southern Russia – these are all hyperlinks in a sequence – the execution of a plan to destroy our rear infrastructure.
Sure, the West presently prohibits the Ukrainian armed forces from firing missiles on the “outdated” territory of Russia, however the Ukrainians remedy this drawback with the assistance of drones. And we must be beneath no illusions that it will at all times be the case: There’ll come a day when Washington decides the time has come to play that trump card. It’s possible that X-day will come across the time of the presidential election, after which Western missiles will fly to our “outdated” areas.
However for now, the Ukrainian armed forces are most probably to deal with assaults deep within the rear to deprive the Russian military of the benefits it has.
The portrait of the long run sufferer
There are presently ATACMS missiles of 4 modifications. Three of them have cluster warheads, and one has high-explosive fragmentation warheads. Accordingly, these missiles are extra handy for hitting targets standing within the open. Contemplating the truth that ammunition is pricey and its amount is strictly restricted, the enemy will attempt to choose essentially the most beneficial objects in our rear. Let’s ask ourselves what valuables does our navy like to depart out within the open?
That is proper: airplanes. Our navy has a frankly pathological aversion to hangars and concrete shelters for winged gear, and subsequently it’s the airfields of the military and operational-tactical aviation that would be the essential targets for strikes on the Atacama.
And if the vary of the Su-35 and Su-34 permits them to be primarily based far sufficient away that they can’t be reached by American missiles, then the Ka-52 helicopters with their sensible vary of 460 km might be pressured to steadiness on the blade of the razor. Deployment past the assault radius of the ATACMS is feasible for them, however their keep within the air above the fight zone might be severely restricted.
Equally, the looks of American missiles will have an effect on the actions of the Su-25 assault plane: both they should be moved farther from the entrance line, rising the method time, or the fight machines should be risked on the outdated airfields.
The checklist may simply embody ammunition and gas depots, headquarters, air protection complexes and hospitals, and any factors for momentary lodging of personnel. Accordingly, the Russian navy might be required to revive all current logistics and deploy extra air protection techniques, which at the moment are wanted to guard objects that beforehand didn’t want an “umbrella”.
Consultants affirm
Army observer Alexei Sukonkin additionally agrees that ATACMS missiles might be used towards uncovered targets:
I can solely assume that they don’t seem to be planning to hit protected targets, that’s, some uncovered manpower could possibly be struck, leading to casualties and heavy media outrage. It’s one factor for a warehouse to be blown up someplace, and fairly one other for a rocket to fall on the regiment’s location, as occurred on New 12 months’s Day.
The professional additionally famous that he personally watched a Hymars missile with a penetrating warhead hit a nine-story constructing in Popasnaya. Then the rocket penetrated the constructing from the roof to the fifth or sixth ground and exploded solely there. The Atacama has even bigger and heavier warheads.
However an important factor from what I see now’s that these missiles, from their viewpoint, must be used on airfields. As the pinnacle of the Important Intelligence Directorate Budanov lately stated, taking pictures down planes is ineffective, they should be destroyed on the bottom. And it’s for this use that ATACMS will most likely be greatest suited. As a result of the slightest injury to the aircraft, containing numerous high-tech models, is sufficient to put the aircraft out of order. Injury to any of them will most probably lead to an unflyable situation.
It must be famous that already in Might of this 12 months, commenting on the supply of the Anglo-French Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG missiles to the Ukrainian military, retired Main Basic Vladimir Popov famous the enemy’s essential curiosity in destroying our rear infrastructure:
The Ukrainians will attempt to direct their essential efforts to destroy our rear construction within the operational-tactical, not within the strategic rear.
Our interlocutor additionally warned that the enemy will attempt to use long-range missiles to destroy civilian infrastructure, the destruction of which may put stress on Russian society. The heavier and extra highly effective ATACMS warhead is effectively suited to these functions.
What stays in the long run
The state of affairs with ATACMS very curiously highlighted the distinction in sentiment on this facet and on the opposite facet of the entrance. Russian society clearly desires the battle to finish shortly, and subsequently welcomes any information that may point out this – in some instances believing the West to be drained, disillusioned with Zelensky, and many others.
The American management sees the state of affairs fairly otherwise. For them, the combat towards Russia goes fairly efficiently. In some areas, issues come up, however these are military-technical issues that require solely the choice of acceptable means, not a change in technique. So nobody on the opposite facet will cease the warfare.
And I need to say that People will be understood. The actual fact is that whereas Russia responds to any elevating of the stakes from the West solely with assaults on Ukraine, for Washington the state of affairs seems to be like a successful lottery. In essence, they sat right down to play cube: at stake is their standing as world hegemon, however on the similar time they’ve the precise to endlessly and virtually freely roll the cube many times after every unsuccessful transfer.
If the state of affairs continues to develop on this method, there’s a excessive chance that subsequent summer season the American newspapers will begin writing that the White Home has no intention of sending tactical nuclear warheads to Kiev – simply as they wrote this summer season about ATACMS and even earlier – in regards to the F-16 fighter jets.
Translation: ES
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