Our Mainz – Freiburg tip for the Bundesliga game on March 19th, 2023 is: The Breisgauers were shown the limits at international level during the week. There was nothing to be gained against Juventus. On Sunday there shouldn’t be enough victory in Mainz either.
Mainz recently showed morale at Berlin’s Hertha and equalized a early 0-1 deficit with Ludovic Ajorque’s equalizer after the half-time break.
Since both competitors did not want to bring about a decision and lacked the last determination, it ended in a draw.
In the round of 16 of the Europa League, Freiburg didn’t have much to smile about and also lost the second leg against Juventus Turin 0:2 at home. Manuel Gulde was unlucky in the game.
The central defender received two yellow cards within 18 minutes for fouls and handball and had to vacate the field. Freiburg played a complete round with one man less. The physical effort has certainly left its mark with regard to the pairing in Mainz.
We see the 05ers at home and expect more than 1.5 goals. A game outcome that at Bwin with odds of 1.73 is rewarded.
That’s why we bet on “Mainz win & over 1.5 goals” for Mainz vs Freiburg:
- Mainz presented itself in the Bundesliga on home soil with four wins in a row.
- Freiburg have won just two of their last nine away games in the league (W2 L4 D3).
- FSV completed 83.33 percent of their home games with two or more goals and Freiburg played 75 percent of away duels with more than one goal.
(Rates are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.)
Mainz vs Freiburg Odds Analysis:
The strenuous match with Juventus during the week left its mark on the people of Breisgau and did not escape the bookies either.
A look at the Mainz Freiburg odds of the best betting providers, who also offer Paypal, gives the 05ers a slight field advantage and measures the home win with an average value of 2.15.
The away win of the guests from Breisgau results in an average of more than 3.2 times the stake. Quite understandable, since the Sport-Club did not make a very good impression on opposing soil in the Bundesliga.
Mainz vs Freiburg prognosis: “Is Freiburg rehabilitating from the Europa League?”
FSV has been unbeaten for five competitive games. A whopping four wins and a draw adorn the Mainz account and attest a strong momentum. Due to the appealing performance, coach Bo Svensson’s team improved to seventh place in the table and is even able to catch up with the international places again.
First and foremost, the strong performances in the Mewa Arena are the reason for the upswing. Four wins in a row leave little doubt about the home strength. Only Dortmund and Bayern have scored more points than Mainz in their last six league games.
Ten of the last eleven fixtures in the Mewa Arena ended with at least two goals. On average, the 05ers scored 1.83 goals per home game and proved to be very dangerous with a total of 22 goals scored in 12 pairings on home soil.
If the two defeats against Juventus are left out, Freiburg can look back on a series of five games without defeat (3 W, 2 D). The sports club is currently in fifth place in the Bundesliga and has the same number of points as fourth-placed Union Berlin.
Mainz – Freiburg statistics & balance sheet:
- Last 5 games Mainz: 1: 1 Hertha (BL, A), 1: 0 Hoffenheim (BL, H), 4: 0 Gladbach (BL, H), 3: 2 Leverkusen (BL A), 3: 1 Augsburg (BL , H).
- Last 5 games Freiburg: 0:2 Juventus (EL,H), 2:1 Hoffenheim (BL,H), 0:1 Juventus (EL,A), 0:0 Gladbach (BL,A), 1:1 Leverkusen ( BL, H).
- Last 5 games Mainz vs. Freiburg: 1:2 (BL, A), 1:1 (BL, A), 0:0 (BL, H), 1:0 (BL, H), 3:1 (BL, A).
Christian Streich is a Freiburg veteran and has been on the coaching bench since December 2011. No other Bundesliga coach has had his job as long as the 57-year-old.
Over the last few years, the people from Breisgau have been able to improve continuously and this season they are even trying to get a taste of the CL ranks.
However, the away record is a shortcoming. Only two of the last eight long-distance duels have been victorious. Four defeats against Leipzig, Wolfsburg, Dortmund and most recently Juventus Turin as well as two draws in Gladbach and Qarabag Agdam attest to the uncertainty in foreign stadiums.
Freiburg is a welcome guest in Mainz: The 05ers have prevailed in five of the last eight duels (5S, 2U, 1N).
Our Mainz – Freiburg tip: “Victory Mainz & over 1.5 goals”
Coach Bo Svensson should set up a 3-4-2-1 against Freiburg. As a trained centre-forward, Ludovic Ajorque takes on the role of nine.
The 29-year-old received support from the flanks with crosses from Danny da Costa and Anthony Caci. Jae-sung Lee and Marcus Ingvartsen are placed in the center to threaten the visitors’ defense.
Streich was less successful in a 3-4-3 against Juventus and will probably switch to a 4-2-3-1 against Mainz. Against Hoffenheim, the back four made up of captain Christian Günter, Manuel Gulde, Matthias Ginter and Lukas Kübler did a good job and only allowed a little.
Despite everything, the defeat against Juventus left its mark. Our Mainz Freiburg Tip targets the “Mainz Win & Over 1.5 Goals” market at odds of 1.73 at Bwin.
