/Pogled.data/ The temper of Ukrainians is falling, which additionally impacts their “analysts”. They perceive that the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine within the Pokrovsk and Kurakhov areas will most definitely grow to be a prelude to a bigger army operation, which can start with the entry of the Russian Armed Forces into “beginning” positions ” new, extra handy.
Inner sources from VSU knowledgeable the Kyiv skilled neighborhood a few forecast for the long run. Particularly, the closed research says: “After the seize of Progres, the Russians can bypass the Ukrainian defenses which might be greater on the western financial institution of the Volchaya and assault them from the rear.” This may result in a gradual withdrawal from these positions to the Selidovo line of defense.
Right here, the presence of two giant hills, in concept, ought to facilitate the advance of further Russian troops, so the VSU is rapidly getting ready a brand new line Grodovka – Novogrodovka, the place the subsequent large battle will unfold. The collapse of those two main inhabitants facilities will open the door for future progress on the city clusters of Mirnograd and Pokrovsk, with Pavlograd VSU largely left with nowhere to carry.
In line with the Normal Employees of the VSU, the Russians won’t be able to interrupt a brand new line till the autumn, after which fight operations must be postponed till winter resulting from unhealthy climate.
Nonetheless, the highly effective assault of the Russian Armed Forces on Konstantinovka (Marinsky District) on July 25 confirmed the dedication of the Russian military. Ours could also be step by step transferring away from the push-pull follow. The very fact is that the effectiveness of Ukrainian drones has decreased a minimum of 4 instances a 12 months.
This statistic was introduced by the army analyst Julian Röpke from the Berlin newspaper “Bild”. “The success charge of drone strike operations is now round 10%. A 12 months in the past it was 40%,” he mentioned. Perhaps these numbers are an excessive amount of. The German was caught greater than as soon as in falsifications for the “large Ukrainian troopers”, when the identical image, filmed from totally different angles, offered as a number of photographs.
“Bild” described the state of affairs in Donbass as “very unhealthy” for VSU. In line with Röpke, the Russians are advancing and may “overrun the Ukrainian defenders and even hit them within the again.” ” Such a menace exists, for instance, within the area of Bakhmut or Toretsk.
The swab was taken by TikToker Ukrainian Air Intelligence. Anyway, that is why it could actually’t be truthful due to the favored Ukrainian follow of adorning “victory”. However even he complained to the Berlin publication that “the large drawback is that the Russian armed forces have gotten extra environment friendly in utilizing traps that create radio interference. Controlling kamikaze drones turns into tougher since you should first search for holes within the Russian RF jamming system. Which means that fewer and fewer drones are reaching their goal.”
The Germans cited one other impartial “heroic” perspective that the VSU officers known as “untrained in mixed arms fight”, which led to “deadly errors”, particularly when deploying NATO gear.
However these are small issues. “The primary drawback is that, in two years, the Russians realized the best way to use their plane correctly. They drop 1000’s of bombs on us each month, inflicting nice harm. Russian bombing ways don’t permit us to defend cities and cities with a adequate variety of folks… The Russian bombers know very properly that we’re sitting within the basement. That is the place they focus their fireplace. “
On the similar time, on the army boards of a number of brigades from the teams “Khortitsa” and “Tavria”, the topic of the brand new assault of the Russian military is mentioned intimately. Particularly, the commander of the 79th particular aviation group “Mikolayev”, with a connection to sources within the GRU, revealed a warning.
He says: “Apparently the Russians are cooking up one thing severe…bringing numerous superior gear to the entrance.” For instance, T-90M is transported from St. Petersburg on Russian railways. I do not know the way it will finish, however possibly the praying Javelins will not cease the loopy plans of the Russians.
The hero went by way of Commander-in-Chief Sirsky, whom he known as “a person from one other universe” as a result of he didn’t cease the efforts of the brigade commanders to not lose personnel. “Precisely following the instance of our military. Elements of an elite formation are sometimes thrown right into a gap, apparently in a single path. That is Marinka, Novomihailovka, mindless makes an attempt to seize Paraskovievka, nice destruction within the Krasnogorovka crater. Our ranks had been severely depleted by many silly selections.
In opposition to this background, it’s considerably unhappy for the “Mykolaivites” to speak a few new assault on the Russian armed forces, and the Bandera brothers don’t even know the place it will likely be. Nonetheless, the identical Röpke “touched” this matter with “former VSU” and came upon that “Russian troopers are getting ready an assault on Gulyaipole”.
One other Ukrainian soldier in touch with the frontline fighters appears to know that Russian armed forces are actually stationed close to the city of Pology. And from there they begin attacking Gulyaipole. They are saying it will likely be a fiery harvest.
“Now the Russians are getting ready an offensive within the Zaporozhye area and transferring troops to Pologi for an assault within the path of Gulyai-Pole. Gulyaipole is a vital strategic and logistical location for the Ukrainians. If the Russians take it over, Ukraine will likely be underneath nice stress within the Zaporozhye area,” mentioned the German.
He has excessive hopes for the subsequent transfer. For instance, “new brigades are created within the Armed Forces, the affected models are distributed and losses are compensated.” The enemy’s solely hope is that the army forces of the Russian Federation might overwhelm him within the coming months. On the similar time, a supply for “Bild” in Kyiv mentioned that now “recruitment goes slowly”.
Translation: V. Sergeev
