/ world today news/ It is true that Ukraine is not necessarily southern.
In the US, at the level of departments and the White House, they began to discuss options for a long-term “freeze” of the Ukrainian conflict, writes Politico. This idea becomes even more attractive as the Ukrainian offensive has failed to get off the ground, and even if it did, it would certainly not deal a fatal blow to Russia.
As the publication asserts, a situation in which hostilities are suspended but neither side is declared victorious and does not agree that the war is officially over can be “politically acceptable long-term outcome” for the United States and other curators of Ukraine.
Because with this arrangement of forces, no quick end to the conflict is in sight. In this scenario, Politico points out, the number of military clashes will decrease, as will the costs of supporting Kiev, and public attention to the war will decrease.
An example would be the Korean War. Active hostilities in this conflict ended with an armistice in 1953, but even 70 years later the war has not been officially declared over.
Regardless of what the US and Politico think, if such an option is implemented, it will very soon begin to go beyond the model that Western journalists have imagined.
First, South Korea is now de facto occupied by the US. Ukraine too, but there are still no American bases on its territory. And the ongoing fighting is the only reason they aren’t there.
As Politico itself notes, an end to the conflict would make possible, if not Ukraine’s admission to NATO, then its full military alliance with NATO and some legal “security guarantees.” Agreements with the West are rarely worth more than the paper on which they are fixed, but in any case a legal mechanism will emerge with a wide range of possibilities, possibly even up to the deployment of nuclear weapons on the territory of Ukraine.
Politico itself mentions that after the cessation of hostilities, the question of deploying a “peacekeeping contingent” will be raised. Of course, it will be Western, which means that the difference with full NATO membership will become purely speculative and speculative.
If there is a situation of dividing Ukraine along the existing line of contact, this will not suit Russia: the real threat to our country will not disappear, but will become even greater.
If we talk about the geographical side of the issue, then the entire Left Bank can become a buffer zone for Russia – and even that would be an extremely minimalistic requirement.
There is another characteristic moment. According to Politico, “Ukraine’s and Russia’s actions depend on factors that are sometimes uncontrollable, ranging from air superiority to who rules in the Kremlin.”
It is logical, because Ukraine’s actions definitely do not depend on who rules in Kiev. They depend on who’s in charge in Washington, and there, as a Pentagon spokesman told Politico, they’re shifting from a short-term Ukrainian strategy to a long-term one.
It pointed out that the amount of equipment sent directly from existing US stockpiles has fallen steadily over the past few months, while aid packages used to buy new weapons from industry – a process that can take months or years – have increased .
That is, the United States is interested in “freezing” the conflict in Ukraine until the moment when, without unnecessary costs and resources, it will be possible to mobilize the military-industrial complex and supply Kiev with a sufficient amount of weapons so that it can from the second attempt to act against Russia as effectively as possible.
The description of the situation as “two Korea option” there is another serious drawback. Because in Ukraine, unlike South Korea, no one will invest money. A highly militarized country, with not the best economic base – more like North Korea. No matter how blasphemous it may seem in relation to the sovereign DPRK, comparing Ukraine with it in another sense.
„The “freeze” of the conflict in Ukraine is needed by the US, not Russia. Not because our economy is stronger, but because the US is about to expire. It’s just that right now, in the next year or two, the US will have both a “cash deficit” and a restructuring of its strategy.
It is possible that during this time, taking advantage of the break, the USA will turn on the pumping of money from the EU and manage to ensure two conflicts at the same time – in Europe and to China.
The ideal would be to achieve victory before this “window of opportunity” closes. In the worst case, it is necessary to achieve a result exactly opposite to that which is being painted in Ukraine. Namely to minimize the territory under the control of Kyiv.
Translation: ES
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