Ligurian regional elections, polls launch Orlando: the candidate of the broad field above Cavo and Rixi

They are only polls, but they already “weigh” on the tables of the respective coalitions, in the decisions still pending, in the climate of the work in progress of the opposing fronts. With less than 48 days to go before the Ligurian regional elections, with more or less large knots still to be untied on both the right and the left, research on voting intentions is starting to play a role in the dispute, the last one in particular. The Tecnè poll for Primocanale, broadcast by the Genoese television station, according to which the centre-left candidate Andrea Orlando would win against any centre-right candidate, at least if this were chosen from among the names that have been circulating so far.

On the basis of telephone research, the Ligurians consulted were asked to simulate a vote between the two possible main challengers of the next 27 and 28 October. Despite in some cases minimal gaps, the candidate of the broad field prevailed against all the options of the coalition that represents the outgoing majority. A majority now fallen, composed of forces of the same field that in these hours are playing a chess game on the choice of a candidate who does not yet exist.

Net of the (great) unknown of abstentions, in fact the majority, according to the survey the closest challenge among those conceivable in Liguria would be that between Andrea Orlando and the Totian deputy Ilaria Cavo: in the Tecnè survey, the former Democratic minister obtained 52 percent of the preferences, while the Noi Moderati parliamentarian stopped at 48. This is also the challenge that would see the greatest participation in the vote, since the party of abstention and of the uncertain would reach 52 percent.

Cavo, in any case, is the favourite of the centre-right voters, who would like her as candidate for governor in 32 percent of cases, against the 28 of the deputy minister of the Northern League. Edward Rixi (still a hidden card at the coalition table) and the 18th of the regional secretary of Forza Italia, Charles Bagnascoflag candidate proposed by the blue leader Antonio Tajani.

Against Rixi, Orlando would win 53 percent to 47, but the undecided and abstentions in this case rise to 54. The exact same result if the challenge were to be between the PD deputy and Bagnasco. The gap in favor of the center-left widens, however, if Orlando were to face the civic Lorenzo Cuocolowith the deputy mayor of Genoa, Peter Piciocchior with the outgoing regional councilor Marco Scajola, all the other names that have been circulating in recent months, but in fact no longer on the table. In all these cases, the poll shows a 55 to 45 for the Democratic deputy. The party of abstention and those who are still undecided, then, with these names, would grow further: 57 percent with Piciocchi, 58 with Cuocolo, 59 with Scajola.