Table of Contents
1X2 prediction: which team to bet on?
Chelsea won the game.
1. Overall performance: Chelsea’s overall statistics are better than Leicester City’s, both in terms of wins and goals scored and conceded. The 64% probability of success for Chelsea for this match reinforces this argument.
2. Offensive and defensive ability: Chelsea’s away performance is better than Leicester’s at home. Chelsea have an offensive ability of 86% and a defensive ability of 36% compared to Leicester who have an offensive ability of 50% and a defensive ability of 100% at home. This shows that Chelsea have a greater ability to score goals and defend their goal.
3. Last games: Analyzing the last games, Chelsea seems to have a more stable performance compared to Leicester who have a more variable win and defense rate. In addition, Chelsea have managed to score goals in all of their last away games and have gained some unique advantages, increasing the probability that they will win this match.
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Over/under 2.5: even that?
More than 2.5 goals per game
1. Leicester’s offensive ability at home (50%) and Chelsea’s offensive ability away (86%) are very high, so both teams are very likely to score goals. If we add the average goals per game, we get 3.8 goals on average between the two teams, which is more than 2.5 goals.
2. The statistics of the last 5 games show that Leicester have scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals at home, while Chelsea have scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals on the road. This shows that both teams have the ability to score and concede almost 2 goals on average per game, which suggests more than 2.5 goals per game.
3. Another important data is the probability that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the game which is 66%. This rate is very high, suggesting that there is a high chance that the match will end with more than 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: Will both teams score?
Both teams score: Yes
1. Statistics show that both teams have a strong attacking ability: on average, Leicester City scores 1.4 goals per game at home and Chelsea 2.4 goals per game away. This shows that both teams have a good chance to score in this game.
2. Leicester City has a strong defensive ability at home (100%), but Chelsea showed a strong offensive performance away (86%). This suggests a fair game where each team would score.
3. Considering the last games, we usually see that both teams managed to score in their own games. For example, in Leicester City’s last game against Nottingham Forest (1-3) and Chelsea’s last game against Manchester United (1-1), both teams had a chance to score.
Which bet offers an attractive value bet?
“Less than 1.5 goals per game”
1. Leicester City have scored a total of 8 goals in their last 5 home games, averaging 1.6 goals per game. This shows a low ability to achieve more goals in this game.
2. Chelsea’s recent away performance shows a trend of low scoring games, conceding just 9 goals in 5 games, an average of 1.8 goals per game. Furthermore, they concede an average of only 1 goal per game.
3. Referring to the odds, ‘Under 1.5 goals in the game’ has odds of 5.90, indicating that punters consider this outcome less likely, hence the possibility value.
Betting on the correct score
Leicester City 1-2 Chelsea
1. The first argument comes from the potential offensive and defensive numbers for both teams. With an offensive ability of 86% and a defensive ability of 36%, Chelsea seems to have a higher goal scoring ability and a strong defense compared to Leicester City which shows an offensive ability of 50% and a defensive ability of 100%. This move supports the 1-2 prediction in favor of Chelsea.
2. The second argument can be drawn from recent game history. Chelsea’s recent away performance shows that they have won 40% of their last 5 games, while Leicester City at home only win 40% of the time. Furthermore, Chelsea have scored 2 or more goals in 60% of their last away games.
3. Finally, the third argument is based on the probability of the outcomes of the game. With the probability of Chelsea winning at 64% compared to Leicester City’s 18%, this indicates that Chelsea are more likely to win the game. In addition, there is an 82% probability for more than 1.5 goals in the game and a 66% probability for more than 2.5 goals, which strengthens the prediction to 1-2.
Analysis and main facts of the game
The formation of the teams
Leicester City have had mixed form at home, with 40% wins and 40% draws over their last 5 games. The club scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 2.8, representing respective performances of 50% and 100%.
For their part, Chelsea are similar to Leicester on the road, with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 games. However, they have a better efficiency, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 1, representing performances of 86% and 36% respectively.
A Leicester City victory has only an 18% chance of happening, compared to Chelsea’s 64%. The odds are 5.80 for Leicester, 1.55 for Chelsea and 4.60 for a draw.
The possibility of a game with more than 1.5 goals is high, with a probability of 82% and chances of 1.14. There is also a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.49.
Both teams are more likely to score, with a probability of 60% and a chance of 1.56.
Looking at previous games, it seems that Chelsea have faced stronger opponents, which could explain their slightly worse results.
Therefore, it is more likely that Chelsea will win this match, with an event that could be rich in goals. However, with Leicester’s defensive performance, several goals could have been conceded.
The number of possible goals
Leicester City, at home, showed a balance in terms of goals scored and conceded, with 8 for both. Current form shows 40% wins and the same amount in draws. On average, they have 1.4 goals per game, with a defense that gives in under pressure (2.8 goals conceded on average).
Chelsea, on the road, also have a balanced record with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. Their victory in 40% of games and draw in 20% shows instability. They score more (2.4 goals per game), but their defense is still more solid (1 goal conceded on average).
The prediction is for Chelsea with a 64% chance of winning (odds at 1.55). There is also a high probability of more than 1.5 goals in the game (82% with a probability of 1.14), supported by the attacking potential of both teams. Under 4.5 goals a game also has a good chance of 78%.
The probability of both teams scoring is 60%, indicating an offensive balance. In summary, the match shows a trend towards victory for Chelsea with a good chance of seeing several goals.
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Our verdicts and predictions for this game
In short, statistical analysis as well as the recent performance of both teams suggests a victory prediction for Chelsea in this match against Leicester City. Chelsea’s high attacking ability, compared to Leicester City’s much smaller attacking ability, seems to indicate that the team has a better chance of scoring goals. The data also shows a good chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored during the match, making the “Over 2.5” bet interesting.
Among the potentially profitable bets, the bet “Under 1.5 goals in the game” offers an interesting value bet, although it is against the general trend. Finally, with two teams likely to score, the “Both teams to score” bet is very likely. The exact expected score for this meeting in the Premier League is 1-2 for Chelsea. As always in sports betting, it is recommended to bet wisely and thoughtfully.
2024-11-20 03:09:00
#Leicester #City #Chelsea #FOOT #Prediction #PRONO
1. What do you think are the key factors contributing to Leicester City’s recent mixed form at home?
2. How has Chelsea’s road performance impacted their overall record this season?
3. Based on the analysis of both teams’ attacking and defensive abilities, which team do you think has the upper hand in this match?
4. Given the probability of a high-scoring game with multiple goals, how do you think both teams’ formations could affect the outcome?
5. Can you explain why the “Under 1.5 goals” bet could be considered a value bet in this game despite the potential for strong offensive performances from both teams?
6. With the probability of both teams scoring being 60%, do you think either defense is likely to dominate during the match?
7. If you had to make a prediction on the final score, which factors would you consider most heavily?
