The final announcement of the nominations of the presidential majority this Sunday, May 9, helps to clear the electoral landscape that will be offered to the Côte-d’Oriens during the legislative elections. In the first round, the rivalries could play out above all within each block, underlining the ideological nuances.
The restructuring of French political life is accelerating with this legislative election campaign. The right-left divide of modernity has been gradually disintegrating since the fall of the Berlin Wall, the enlargement of the European Union, the awareness of climate change, the rise of Islamist terrorism and the rise of social media.
On the left, the slingers prevented François Hollande from being able to run again in 2017. Emmanuel Macron then emerged by adding supporters of social democracy, radicalism, liberalism, political ecology and Christian democracy respectively.
Elected for the first time in favor of a theorized duel in a split between progressives/reformers versus populists/extremists, the President of the Republic was re-elected in a context of the collapse of the historical parties of the right and the left as well as a decline of the party of political ecology, thus reinforcing the reading initiated in 2017.
Recomposition revives competitions
The shift from the old divide towards this recomposition is generating competition among the newcomers to the central bloc of the presidential majority, friction between outgoing elected representatives of the traditional parties and newcomers to the coalition created to federate anti-capitalist and neo-progressive forces, namely the New Popular Ecological and Social Union (NUPES) of Jean-Luc Mélenchon presented as “the union of the left”, without forgetting the rivalries around the Reconquest party of Éric Zemmour, aspiring to a coalition opposite to the previous one, in the nationalist camp this time, with a view to “the union of the rights”.
The challenge of the 12.5% of registrants
Far from clarifying a presidential election that seems to clear three blocks, the legislative elections thus see the appearance of a myriad of pre-candidatures locally declining the national political recomposition to which are inevitably added personal adventures.
The ballot boxes of June 12 and 19 will decide in two stages. First of all, participation will penalize those who will not be able to federate on their name and their political position at least 12.5% of registered voters to access the second round. The criterion should therefore limit the number of triangles. Then, the voters will have to decide among the candidates who are both locally established and carry a national dynamic.
Duels revealing ideological nuances
In this context, fratricidal duels are increasing particularly in Côte-d’Or among the candidates announced to date. Rassemblement National versus Reconquête, the histories of the Republicans against the new supporters of La République En Marche (now Renaissance) and the dissidents of the PS opposed to the NUPES label. Each of his duels reveals ideological nuances that have appeared in recent years in the old political families according to changes in society and the aspirations of voters.
The publication of the investitures of the presidential majority at the end of last week (read the press release) brings visibility, including to yet undeclared competing forces.
First constituency
Ambrine Mohamed (former LR who went to Reconquête) will fight against both Frédéricka Desaubliaux (RN) and François-Xavier Dugourd (LR).
The social media rumor evokes a parachuting of Antoine Peillon (LFI, NUPES) who will probably have to face a PS dissident who does not recognize himself in the agreement made in particular between Olivier Faure and Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
The outgoing deputy, Didier Martin (Renaissance, presidential majority) will be able to revel in these conflicts.
Second constituency
Franck Gaillard and Mélanie Fortier will symbolize the duel Reconquête versus Rassemblement National, especially since the first is a former member of the FN who joined Éric Zemmour to coordinate his party in Bourgogne-Franche-Comté when the second is the departmental referent for young people from the RN in Golden Coast.
The outgoing deputy Rémi Delatte (LR-Libres) having announced on the sly that he did not represent himself, the field of possibilities for his succession is open in his political family. Bruno David (LR) and Ludovic Rochette (former LR, then various right past Horizons) rush into the space thus created.
A duel of ecologists is announced between Benoît Bordat (Cap 21, presidential majority) and Catherine Hervieu (EELV, NUPES). They were both members of the support committee for Yannick Jadot (EELV), an environmental candidate who has become silent since the first round of the presidential election after calling bluntly to vote for Emmanuel Macron in the second round.
They are both members of the same opposition group within the departmental council, Côte-d’Or Terre d’Avenir, formed from a local coalition PS-EELV-Cap 21-Génération.s.
They were both members of the municipal majority led by François Rebsamen (PS), mayor of Dijon, in the previous term before Catherine Hervieu joined the environmental opposition group since 2020.
Note that in 2017, François Deseille (Modem) was invested by the presidential majority. As part of the Together coalition (associating in particular Renaissance, Horizons and the Modem) a single constituency of Côte-d’Or was reserved this time for the Modem.
By re-applying for the fourth constituency, the rural Yolaine de Courson (Modem relative, presidential majority) came to pull the rug out from under the feet of the city-dweller François Deseille for whom the investiture, or even the deputation, would have constituted an interesting springboard in view of the next municipal elections in Dijon.
Third constituency
Solène Lacroix-Samper (Reconquest) and Dominique Alexandre Bourgois (RN) will replay the duel of the national camp.
Valérie Grandet (LR) will challenge Fadila Khattabi, outgoing deputy (Renaissance, presidential majority).
According to our information, a supporter of Arnaud Montebourg, Clément Van Melckebeke (L’Engagement), should be a candidate, supported by former PS deputy Kheira Bouziane, to, this time, replay the duel between slingers and supporters of François Hollande, that is to say, at the time, François Rebsamen in particular.
For her part, Patricia Marc (LFI) requested the nomination of the NUPES.
Fourth constituency
Loup Bommier (Reconquest) and Myriame Péronne (RN) will compete in territory where Éric Zemmour and Marine Le Pen have achieved relatively high presidential scores.
Colleagues in the Department, Hubert Brigand (various right, invested by LR) and Laurence Porte (Horizons) will scrap for the deputation.
Yolaine de Courson, outgoing deputy (related to Modem, presidential majority) is therefore a candidate for re-election.
A dissident of the PS could well compete with Stéphane Guinot (LFI) who sought the investiture of the NUPES.
Fifth constituency
Founder of Generation Z in Bourgogne-Franche-Comté, Denis Jordan (Reconquest) will challenge the departmental delegate of Marine Le Pen’s party, René Lioret (RN).
Charlotte Fougère (LR) was invested by the Republicans. Didier Paris, outgoing MP (Renaissance, presidential majority) is a candidate for re-election.
In this district marked for a communist candidate within the framework of the agreement of the NUPES, the local PS will not present a dissident candidate, as on the second.
The legislative campaign has only just begun. The ideological confusion helping, not to mention the disappointed nominations, other candidacies could appear in the coming days in the department. The deadline for doing so is May 20.
Jean-Christophe Tardivon
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