“Lebanon Debate”
After the unprecedented escalation on the southern front, there is increasing concern about the Israeli madness in its war on the Gaza Strip extending to Lebanon, starting from the southern gate, and fears are accumulating among the Lebanese about paying a heavy price in addition to the prices they are paying as a result of the political and institutional vacuum and financial collapse.
Operation “Al-Aqsa Flood” brought the region, including Lebanon, into the Israeli circle of fire, without any military or political horizon for it becoming clear, at least at the present moment.
Yesterday’s Israeli targeting of border villages demonstrated the fragility of the situation on the border and launched a new path in the ongoing confrontations. However, the greatest challenge it launched is how to deal with this development, which may ignite the most dangerous regional war, according to informed political circles, who read about operations. The launching of rockets from the south towards northern Israel, which went beyond the framework of warning messages, is an indication of the beginning of a new phase, the title of which is a radical overthrow of all existing equations in the region. Informed political circles confirmed to “Lebanon Debate” that the greatest danger lurking in Lebanon goes beyond war and destruction to threatening the entity and its existence, which is essentially threatened by the slide of all of Lebanon into a war with which the Lebanese conjure up scenes of war, specifically the July 2006 war.
Against this background, circles spoke of diplomatic efforts and communications recorded with Lebanese leaders and officials, unanimously calling for restraint and maintaining stability in southern Lebanon, and not involving the northern front in the war, noting that the response to these warnings came quickly yesterday and depicted a new reality that has changed. It has the full rules of engagement.
Therefore, the field’s calculations differ from the political and diplomatic calculations, as the circles saw that restoring Israel’s prestige, which fell in the “flood of Al-Aqsa,” may not only come at the expense of the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, in light of circulating information about French warning letters that arrived in Beirut. It means that Netanyahu will not exclude Lebanon or even Syria, in the event that it slides into a multi-front war, after the American aircraft carrier arrived in the region to support Israel in its war against the Palestinians.
Until the features of the confrontation that began on the southern front, which the circles described as “controlled,” become clear, at least for the moment, fears remain of a dramatic change imposed by the process of shuffling the regional cards, and opening the unified arenas that were united under one regional title, to “madness.” “Israeli.”
2023-10-10 04:21:48
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